Manifold Creator
Robin
@pie
Markets by Robin
Who will be President of the United States on January 21, 2037?
$15K63 tradersopen
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Other than Joe Biden and Donald Trump, who will win the most votes in the 2024 United States presidential election?
$11K38 tradersResolved
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This market has a 99% chance of resolving Yes.
$8K36 tradersResolved
99%
Will AI wipe humanity by 2030?
$7K73 tradersopen
28%
What will Joe Biden's total popular vote be?
$4K23 tradersResolved
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How many different Prime Ministers will the UK have between April 1, 2024 and April 1, 2034?
$3K20 tradersopen
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What is the risk-free interest rate for markets with ridiculously distant resolution dates?
$2K6 tradersopen
3%
Will Kraken stop providing Monero trading in the United States before 2026?
$1K12 tradersResolved
41%
Will a good or service be sold on the moon by 2050?
$1K36 tradersopen
51%
How much will Berkshire Hathaway stock change from the day before Warren Buffett dies to the day after he dies?
$76812 tradersopen
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What will the price of Bitcoin in Monero (BTC/XMR) be on April 13th, 2025?
$2543 tradersResolved
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What will my GPA for the Fall 2024 semester be?
$1962 tradersResolved
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How many "on the passing of" statements will be posted to the White House website from 4/12/2024 to 1/20/2025?
$1702 tradersResolved
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Will this market close at 49% or below?
$1416 tradersResolved
50%
Will BYND hit $16.00 before $4.00?
$1123 tradersclosed
34%
Will VT outperform VTI over the next 50 years?
$224 tradersopen
54%