Manifold Creator
Alex Palcuie
@palcu
Markets by Alex Palcuie
AI market crash by the end of 2026?
$19K38 tradersResolved
1%
No rain for my London birthday barbecue June 28?
$9K25 tradersResolved
99%
Will I be laid off by Google or have resigned in 2023?
$2K29 tradersResolved
4%
Jane Street guilty of Indian market manipulation or settles for $100M+?
$2K25 tradersopen
42%
Will Scott Alexander join a London Rationalish meeting by the end of the year?
$1K13 tradersResolved
4%
Will Claude have an outage while I attend the Manifest Conference?
$1K7 tradersResolved
16%
Will Scott Alexander join a London Rationalish meetup in 2023?
$1K12 tradersResolved
4%
Will somebody give me a working BlueSky invite by the end of June 2023?
$9569 tradersResolved
92%
Will I do at least one business trip to the US in 2023?
$7538 tradersResolved
5%
Will Dominic Cummings join a London Rationalish meeting by the end of the year?
$67511 tradersResolved
4%
Will I have a bedbugs infestation in my home in London?
$64010 tradersResolved
10%
Will my home address still be in Canary Wharf, London on Dec 31 2023?
$3494 tradersResolved
91%
Will somebody give me a working BlueSky invite by the end of May 2023?
$17710 tradersResolved
29%
Will the London Rationalish group meet at least 10 times in 2023?
$1538 tradersResolved
68%
Will Looking for Growth give a London councillor, the London mayor or an MP before 2030?
$353 tradersopen
48%
Will Ekin-Su and Davide get back together by the end of 2023?
$253 tradersResolved
40%
Will I go to the gym with two of my friends by March 1 2023?
$202 tradersResolved
52%
Will I weigh at least 69kg in 2023?
$152 tradersResolved
53%
Who will win the 2024 Bucharest Mayoral Election?
$101 tradersResolved
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