Manifold Creator
Sundry
@oh
Markets by Sundry
When will Season 4's random closing time be?
$41K22 tradersResolved
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Will there be at least one US federal government shutdown in 2024?
$40K58 tradersResolved
47%
How will Season 6 end? Add your prediction!
$25K30 tradersResolved
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Guess who
$25K21 tradersResolved
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Will @JamesGrugett experience poverty for two weeks?
$16K25 tradersResolved
99%
Will the Rationalussy for Santos campaign meet its goal? (resolves to % raised)
$12K18 tradersResolved
100%
Which controversial ballot proposals will pass this year?
$11K22 tradersResolved
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What kinds of badges will there be by 2025?
$9K16 tradersResolved
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How will my Manifold fame increase by 2025? [new independent FR]
$8K7 tradersResolved
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Will at least 5 users get modded today?
$7K15 tradersResolved
0%
Will moderation powers be temporarily granted to previously non-badged users?
$6K6 tradersResolved
0%
Will I be involved in more Manifold drama at least thrice by March?
$6K6 tradersResolved
99%
How will Season 7 end? Add your prediction!
$6K6 tradersResolved
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Will Jewish institutions continue paying the “antisemitism tax,” i.e., for increased security?
$5K17 tradersResolved
95%
How many different badges will there be by March 2024?
$5K10 tradersResolved
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Will someone hack the Las Vegas Sphere by the end of 2024?
$4K21 tradersclosed
3%
When will Season 6's random closing time be? [4 HR ranges]
$4K7 tradersResolved
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Will Nathan Fielder’s The Rehearsal Season 2 begin by April?
$4K11 tradersResolved
0%
Will NYSED permit nonpublic schools to deliver instruction in a language other than English?
$4K13 tradersResolved
1%
How will Manifold respond to my job application?
$4K10 tradersResolved
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Will Central Park, NYC get more than 25 inches of snowfall this winter?
$3K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will the 11/14 March for Israel in DC be eventful?
$3K23 tradersResolved
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Will AI have a sudden trillion+ dollar impact by the end of 2024?
$3K38 tradersResolved
7%
How many will attend the March for Israel rally in DC on Nov. 14th?
$3K4 tradersResolved
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Testing the thing James told me (resolves)
$3K2 tradersResolved
2%
Will Reddit admins censor images on r/place?
$2K10 tradersResolved
99%
What will have been the most impactful new features for Manifold in 2023?
$2K26 tradersResolved
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Will Manifold Markets have a Wikipedia page this year?
$2K12 tradersResolved
98%
Will @ManifoldLive publish on Google/Apple Podcasts by EOY?
$2K9 tradersResolved
1%
Who will win the Manifold Peace awards?
$2K32 tradersResolved
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Will I complete my Honors Thesis I paper by July 31st?
$2K13 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be a split between the popular vote and the electoral college in 2024?
$2K6 tradersResolved
2%
Will this market reach 500 traders by the end of 2024?
$2K47 tradersResolved
2%
Will Manifold change the loan rate at any time in 2024?
$2K8 tradersResolved
99%
Will food be more expensive in December 2024 than December 2023?
$2K32 tradersclosed
92%
Will Belgium be able to form a government between their election and the end of the year?
$2K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Trustworthyish role be modified this month as a result of my request for the badge?
$2K2 tradersResolved
100%
Which dashboards will be featured on the Home page in mid-January?
$1K4 tradersResolved
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Will US crude oil production hit a record high in 2024?
$1K10 tradersResolved
96%
Which dashboards will be featured on the Home page in mid-December?
$1K3 tradersResolved
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