Manifold Creator
Noah
@noaht2
Markets by Noah
Who will be part of the government coalition in the National Assembly after the 2024 South African general election?
$70K24 tradersResolved
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Will The Startup Party get more seats in Parliament after the next general election than Reform UK will?
$32K21 tradersopen
3%
Who will be the next Archbishop of Canterbury?
$11K14 tradersResolved
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When will Dynamicland’s new website be online?
$7K3 tradersResolved
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Will we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
$6K37 tradersopen
9%
In whose hands was the future, according to Elon Musk?
$4K42 tradersopen
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What will be the outcome of Annie Altman’s lawsuit against Sam Altman? (Altman v. Altman)
$4K14 tradersopen
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Who would be Dwarkesh’s “biggest guest yet” if they were interviewed?
$3K12 tradersopen
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Which party will Richard Hanania finally endorse in the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
$3K24 tradersopen
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Will Vikram Valame win Valame v. Trump?
$3K15 tradersopen
5%
Did Jane Street do anything wrong in India?
$2K25 tradersopen
48%
Who wrote the pink letter?
$80611 tradersopen
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How many times will numeric markets be deprecated in 2025?
$66810 tradersResolved
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Will the album “Warriors” be adapted as a musical that premieres by 2030?
$2677 tradersopen
57%
Will I successfully run the Surrey Integration Bee?
$501 tradersResolved
52%
Who will be in Chad’s “HAREM of THREE” at the end of Dom, Incorporated: Season Four?
$424 tradersResolved
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