Manifold Creator
niklaswik
@niklaswik
Markets by niklaswik
Will the Bitcoin price be closer to USD 0 than 100 000 on Jan 1 2023?
$4K43 tradersResolved
98%
Will there be fewer than 500 000 malaria deaths worldwide in 2025?
$3K34 tradersopen
10%
Will the snow melt before 1 december?
$2K22 tradersResolved
94%
TrueCrypt is safe to use in 2023?
$2K30 tradersResolved
35%
Will TSA airport security checks still require people to take their shoes off in 2030?
$2K26 tradersResolved
20%
Will CGP Grey's next video be >= 10:00 minutes long?
$1K16 tradersResolved
7%
Is IsaacKing or johnleoks the bigger jerk right now?
$1K25 tradersResolved
—
Manifold to let markets close some time before resolving?
$9947 tradersResolved
3%
How many people will be permanently residing in the "libertarian city" Prospera in Honduras by the end of 2029?
$86613 tradersopen
—
What year will the majority of new cars sold in Europe be "battery electric" (BEV)?
$83710 tradersopen
—
Will Boom Overture fly (supersonic) before 2040?
$78710 tradersopen
32%
When will our child be born?
$5475 tradersResolved
—
Will Ruja Ignatova be found (dead or alive) before 2027-10-25?
$2837 tradersopen
20%
Will BTC dominance go above 50% before 2025?
$27811 tradersResolved
67%
What is the empty weight of a Tesla Semi? (in lbs)
$2205 tradersResolved
40%
Will Heart Aerospace ES-30 make its first revenue flight (at least 100 km) before 2030?
$2153 tradersopen
10%
Will the next Wintergatan Marble Machine be used on a tour before 2030?
$1727 tradersopen
35%
Will any Boeing 747-400 still be in regular passenger service by 2030?
$983 tradersopen
21%
Will J.K. Rowling ever write another story taking place in the Harry Potter universe?
$927 tradersopen
85%
Is Tesla still selling cars in 2040?
$906 tradersopen
75%