Manifold Creator
Pi
@mudPi314
Markets by Pi
Will Trump express intent to run for a third term while he is president, before the end of Febuary 2025?
$23K55 tradersResolved
87%
Will I attend WARP/ESPR/PAIR or similar in 2024?
$14K14 tradersclosed
3%
Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
$9K81 tradersopen
53%
Will Llama 3 400B be better than GPT-4?
$7K53 tradersResolved
96%
Will I at any point in 2024 have more than one romantic partner?
$5K20 tradersclosed
8%
What will my Rice Purity Score be at the end of 2023?
$3K31 tradersResolved
50%
Will Trump be held under house arrest before he dies?
$3K19 tradersopen
14%
Will I graduate from UChicago in 2027?
$3K25 tradersopen
42%
Will I get my Discord account back?
$2K27 tradersclosed
26%
[1K Subsidy] Will I be a MATS scholar in 2024?
$2K23 tradersResolved
25%
Will the "Eliezer doom button" market resolve N/A?
$1K18 tradersResolved
90%
Conditional on the Atlas Fellowship running in 2024, will Klein be a 2024 Atlas Fellow
$6747 tradersResolved
13%
Will OpenAI run an AI incubator in 2025?
$49413 tradersclosed
11%
Will I be a MATS scholar in 2024?
$40017 tradersResolved
28%
Should I apply to ASPR/WARP? (read description)
$30710 tradersResolved
57%
Which EA charity will UChicago students donate the most to?
$1807 tradersResolved
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Will gather.town allow rebinding of wasd keys by the end of 2024?
$1414 tradersclosed
17%
Will I gain a romantic partner at vibecamp?
$566 tradersResolved
33%