Manifold Creator
Marshall Polaris
@mqp
Markets by Marshall Polaris
Will my toddler be able to read any words by the time he is 3?
$3K27 tradersResolved
16%
If I try using VS Code instead of Emacs for working on Manifold Markets, will I want to keep using it a week after I begin?
$97617 tradersResolved
67%
Will the homepage swipe interface cause* large mobile user attrition?
$4768 tradersResolved
76%
Will this market successfully post?
$602 tradersResolved
—
Conditional on an account-linked Manifold Discord bot that allows betting and market creation being added to the MM Discord, will at least 5 users use this bot on June 1st, 2022?
$434 tradersResolved
83%
In 2022, will I at any point cause an accidental bug in production during my work on Manifold Markets that someone else notices before I fix it?
$435 tradersResolved
86%
Testing free response answer resolution
$201 tradersResolved
—
[SF Hackathon] How much mana will "Manfart" win?
$101 tradersResolved
78%
Testing yes/no resolution
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will this market post?
$00 tradersResolved
95%
Will this market successfully post?
$00 tradersResolved
98%
Will this question post?
$00 tradersResolved
80%
Will this market correctly post?
$00 tradersResolved
95%
Will posting this market and looking at the network request help me fix the code I'm working on?
$00 tradersResolved
95%
Will this market be created successfully?
$00 tradersResolved
90%
Testing market creation on production again
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Testing market creation on production
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will this market resolve when I use the new market resolution API?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will this market post correctly with the new v2 market creation function?
$00 tradersResolved
90%