Manifold Creator
Michael Hendricks
@mndrix
Markets by Michael Hendricks
Will the Federal EV tax credit be repealed in 2025?
$80K44 tradersResolved
99%
Will Cybertruck 2025 receive a full five star safety rating?
$13K14 tradersResolved
1%
In Gonzalez v. Google, will the Supreme Court immunize targeted recommendations?
$9K36 tradersResolved
99%
In Arizona v. Navajo Nation, will the Supreme Court decide in favor of the Navajo Nation
$8K10 tradersResolved
0%
Will Cybertruck 2024 receive a full five star safety rating?
$5K41 tradersResolved
80%
Will Scott Alexander review Vaclav Havel's "The Power Of The Powerless"?
$4K27 tradersResolved
6%
Will Cybertruck 2026 receive a full five star safety rating?
$2K15 tradersResolved
1%
In Twitter v. Taamneh, will the Supreme Court decide that Twitter is liable for aiding terrorism?
$2K9 tradersResolved
1%
Will Nevada Question 6 (Right to Abortion) pass in 2026?
$2K11 tradersopen
84%
Will Nevada Question 7 (Require Voter Identification) pass in 2026?
$1K9 tradersopen
80%
Will Scott Alexander review Bruce Fink's "A Clinical Introduction To Lacanian Psychoanalysis"?
$98111 tradersResolved
98%
Will Colorado Initiative 85 pass in 2026?
$7607 tradersopen
60%
When will a Tesla Robovan offer its first public, autonomous ride?
$6474 tradersopen
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Will Scott Alexander review Mark Brinell's "The Search For The Perfect Health System"?
$6378 tradersResolved
6%
Will Scott Alexander review Edward Teach's "Penelope's Dream Of Twenty Geese"?
$4756 tradersResolved
6%
Will Scott Alexander review Rick Perlstein's "Nixonland"?
$4735 tradersResolved
6%
Will Colorado Initiative 95 pass in 2026?
$4157 tradersopen
45%
Will Scott Alexander review one of Rene Girard's books on mimetic desire?
$4135 tradersResolved
5%
Will Scott Alexander review Joseph Stiglitz's "Whither Socialism"?
$4096 tradersResolved
6%
Will Wyoming's 2026 property tax initiative pass?
$4054 tradersopen
34%
In Counterman v. Colorado, will the Supreme Court decide that a "true threat" requires intent?
$2116 tradersResolved
54%
Lake Mead elevation on January 1, 2024
$1875 tradersResolved
65%
Will Scott Alexander review Mark Brinell's "The Search For The Perfect Health System"?
$1001 tradersResolved
50%
Lake Mead elevation March 1, 2023
$00 tradersResolved
52%