Manifold Creator
@misha
@misha
Markets by @misha
Will Joel Becker become a top-5 bettor before August?
$7K4 tradersResolved
100%
Will Joel Becker join the leaderboard before August?
$2K8 tradersResolved
96%
Will Arb's summer intern spend at least 2 weeks in the Bahamas during the summer?
$2K2 tradersResolved
0%
Will I finish a triathlon?
$1K6 tradersResolved
97%
Will I stick with assigning probabilities to work stuff for 3 weeks?
$1K15 tradersResolved
86%
Will Gavin spend at least 2 weeks in the Bahamas before August?
$1K7 tradersResolved
96%
Will I spend more than 3 weeks in the Bahamas in Q4 2022?
$4254 tradersResolved
76%
On August 1st, which fraction of Joel's net profits will come from insider trading?
$3607 tradersResolved
20%
I will do cc67ff7 by the end of today?
$544 tradersResolved
99%
Will I do an ambitious work thingy today?
$213 tradersResolved
39%