Manifold Creator
Anton Makiievskyi 🔸
@mckiev
Markets by Anton Makiievskyi 🔸
How old will Bryan Johnson be when he dies of natural causes?
$172K246 tradersopen
60%
Will Ukrainians admitted on Humanitarian Parole get extension in 2025?
$27K34 tradersResolved
80%
Will Ukrainians admitted on Humanitarian Parole get extension in August 2025?
$23K65 tradersResolved
17%
Will the record for the biggest televised poker pot be broken in 2023?
$17K44 tradersResolved
3%
Will the USD/RUB exchange rate hit 200 before 2025?
$11K53 tradersResolved
3%
Will AMANABOT process more then 100 unique bets by April 12th 2024?
$8K12 tradersResolved
87%
In 2025, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?
$6K54 tradersResolved
38%
Will we see a video of Prigozhin made by him to be posted in case of his death?
$6K80 tradersResolved
5%
Will AMANABOT receive deposits from >50 unique manifold accounts by April 24th 2024?
$6K11 tradersResolved
1%
In 2024, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality short story to a prompt?
$5K54 tradersResolved
16%
Will Lex Fridman make a podcast that is mostly about cryonics before January 1st 2025?
$5K41 tradersResolved
5%
Will there be a digital Giving What We Can member pin by 2025?
$5K21 tradersResolved
4%
Will Ukrainians who came to USA under the U4U program be allowed to legally stay for 5+ years?
$4K49 tradersopen
52%
Will EA community deploy and actively use a DAO by 2027?
$4K54 tradersopen
16%
Will Jeff Bezos run for President before 2060?
$2K46 tradersopen
14%
Will there be an analogue of executive order 6102 for crypto, making ownership illegal?
$2K51 tradersopen
15%
Will AMANABOT receive deposits from >20 unique manifold accounts by April 8th 2024?
$2K10 tradersResolved
97%
Will Manifund regrants have over 60 projects by the end of July?
$2K8 tradersResolved
1%
Who will I next go on 3 dates with?
$2K2 tradersResolved
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Will Bryan Johnson be revived if cryopreserved?
$2K23 tradersopen
26%
Will it seem safe to walk around Civic Center in SF at night by 2025?
$1K21 tradersResolved
9%
When will Lightcone pay their debt in full to Manifold?
$78710 tradersResolved
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Will AMANABOT receive deposits from >40 unique manifold accounts by April 8th 2024?
$77117 tradersResolved
16%
Will Manifund regranting have 20 or more projects that reach min funding bar by the end of August?
$72311 tradersResolved
82%
Would Starlink keep providing coverage in case of an all out nuclear war?
$57621 tradersopen
17%
Will Ihor Kolomoisky get imprisoned before 2030?
$43326 tradersopen
60%
Which of the following ACX Grants Impact Certificates will be bought back at a higher value than they were sold for?
$1998 tradersResolved
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Will AMF claim to NOT need any additional funding at any point before 2033
$512 tradersopen
65%
Will Manifund regrants have over 60 listed projects by the end of July?
$152 tradersResolved
38%
Provide statistics of sunny hours and temperatures in Bay Area at high spatial resolution.
$00 tradersopen
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Beta testers for anonymous betting wanted
$00 tradersResolved
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Free 500 mana for a couple of clicks at amana.bot
$00 tradersResolved
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What stock should I buy if I knew that the room temperature superconductor works?
$00 tradersopen
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Free Mana!
$00 tradersopen
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