Manifold Creator

Matt

@mattyb

Markets by Matt

State of the Union Bets [Tonight 9PM Eastern]

$806K722 tradersResolved

Will Trump get more votes in 2024 than he got in 2020?

$119K460 tradersResolved
100%

Which team will win the 2025 MLB World Series?

$115K232 tradersResolved

Will all living presidents attend Trump’s inauguration?

$102K316 tradersResolved
100%

President Obama releases his annual list of top movies in December. What movies will make his 2023 list?

$96K220 tradersResolved

Which songs will Usher perform at the Super Bowl? 🧑‍🎤🏈🏟️

$80K51 tradersResolved

To the nearest 10k, how many steps will @firstuserhere walk in a 2023 day?

$71K63 tradersResolved

White House Correspondents Dinner [Mega Market] 👴🏻🎤 - 5PM PT Saturday

$68K123 tradersResolved

Which teams will make the 2025 MLB Postseason? (Division Series)

$67K92 tradersResolved

Does my mom know who Nate Silver is?

$65K383 tradersResolved
47%

Which team will win the 2024 MLB World Series?

$60K116 tradersResolved

Israel:Hamas ceasefire in February? 🇮🇱🤝🇵🇸

$60K133 tradersResolved
0%

Will the 2024 Super Bowl be the most watched of all time? 🏈🏆📺

$56K102 tradersResolved
100%

What sports will the USA win a gold medal in the 2024 Paris Olympics? 🏟️🇺🇸🏅

$50K96 tradersResolved

Israel:Hamas ceasefire in May? 🇮🇱🤝🇵🇸

$48K110 tradersResolved
1%

Will Kamala Harris hold a gun before election day?

$47K245 tradersResolved
1%

[The Pivot] Will Manifold ever give a cash payout from Prize Points [or Sweepstakes]?

$46K92 tradersResolved
99%

Hurricane Helene will be more costly than Hurricane Milton

$46K190 tradersResolved
66%

Will Jimmy Carter see a ceasefire in Gaza? 🇮🇱🇵🇸🕊️

$43K130 tradersResolved
1%

Battle of the Nonagenarians: Who will outlive Jimmy Carter?

$42K83 tradersResolved

Will there be interest-free loans on manifold at any point before 2025?

$37K37 tradersResolved
99%

What companies will have the 5 highest market caps at the end of 2024? [payout per rank]

$37K90 tradersResolved

Will both Kamala Harris and Donald Trump go on the Joe Rogan Experience before election day?

$35K104 tradersResolved
1%

Will Ron DeSantis get the third highest number of votes in every Super Tuesday primary?

$35K37 tradersResolved
0%

Will Barbie win any awards at the 2024 Golden Globes?

$34K10 tradersResolved
100%

Will the Dodgers have the best record in the MLB in 2025? ⚾️🧢🏆

$33K25 tradersResolved
1%

Will Bitcoin reach $100k before this market reaches 1,000 traders?

$33K30 tradersResolved
99%

Will the Presidential Election get called before Pennsylvania?

$32K92 tradersResolved
1%

New Award Alert 🚨: Who will win the 2024 inaugural Golden Globe for Cinematic and Box Office Achievement

$32K15 tradersResolved

Will Nvidia (NVDA) become the largest company in the world by market cap again in 2024?

$31K93 tradersResolved
99%

Israel:Hamas ceasefire in April? 🇮🇱🤝🇵🇸

$31K66 tradersResolved
1%

Will Elon Musk deny the results of the 2024 election if Trump loses? 🗳️🙅‍♂️🚫

$30K220 tradersResolved
57%

Will Apple Inc. have the highest market cap at the end of 2024?

$29K182 tradersResolved
98%

If the Diamond league was like the Masters (with everyone competing together), who would win it in January 2024?

$29K26 tradersResolved

What will be the best selling movie of 2024? 🎥📀💰

$28K53 tradersResolved

Will Trump post “Stop the Count” in the days following the election?

$28K117 tradersResolved
1%

Will I (@mattyb) have 100k profit before May?

$27K24 tradersResolved
90%

Will the US put any conditions on their next aid package to Israel?

$27K164 tradersResolved
54%

What will be true about the Apple Vision Pro on the day of its release?

$26K56 tradersResolved

Will Biden lose any delegates in the 2024 Democratic Primary?

$26K21 tradersResolved
100%