Internet of Events
Leaderboard
Traders
Markets
Hot Bets
Surveillance
Pricing
Log in
Get Access
Accrue
/
Home
/
Manifold
/
matt
Manifold Creator
matt
@matt
Markets by matt
Best score on CritPt benchmark (~FrontierMath for physics) by end of 2026
$560
2 traders
open
—
What will be the best score (almost resolved) on ProgramBench at the end of 2026?
$333
3 traders
open
—
Will language models solve cryptic crosswords by end of 2026?
$330
14 traders
Resolved
73%