Manifold Creator
m
@m2
Markets by m
Was synthetic video data generated and used in training Sora?
$74K157 tradersResolved
23%
Which country will win the 2023 African Cup of Nations?
$19K19 tradersResolved
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Who will the ANC form a minority government with?
$8K12 tradersResolved
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How many people will cross from Gaza into Egypt through the Rafah crossing by the end of 2024
$8K23 tradersResolved
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Will the supreme court rule in favor of the government in Diaz v. United States?
$7K17 tradersResolved
98%
Will Humane AI come out with a second product by 2026?
$7K28 tradersResolved
5%
Will the median home sold price in San Francisco be higher in April 2025 than April 2024?
$4K32 tradersResolved
67%
Will Fatah and Hamas have a public reconciliation by 2026?
$4K17 tradersResolved
91%
Will Indian troops leave the Maldives by March 15?
$3K28 tradersResolved
12%
What will be the most popular frontend framework by 2030?
$1K41 tradersopen
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Which non-European or non-South American team will be the first to win the FIFA world cup?
$1K26 tradersopen
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Will the FTC successfully block Kroger’s acquire of Albertsons
$1K11 tradersResolved
94%
Cursor's valuation exceeds $10 billion by 2029
$1K7 tradersResolved
90%
Will a non-European or non-South American country win the FIFA world cup by 2034 (inclusive)?
$92413 tradersopen
13%
Will Iran have or get the Russian S-400 air defense missile system in 2024?
$6528 tradersResolved
8%
Will Zimbabwe Gold collapse by 2030?
$41219 tradersopen
58%
Will Apple have a significant change in business practices due the United States v. Apple trial?
$38712 tradersopen
73%
What market cap will Rubrik close at on their first day of trading (billions)?
$3452 tradersResolved
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Will a self-driving ride hailing service be available to the general public in NYC by the end of 2024?
$3104 tradersResolved
5%
How many people will be vaccinated with the R21 vaccine in 2024
$2674 tradersResolved
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Will Abdel Fattah Al Sisi be the president of Egypt on January 1, 2032?
$2316 tradersopen
51%
Will Liberian GDP growth exceed 5% in 2024?
$1556 tradersResolved
88%
Which of the ten oldest S&P 100 companies will be the first to die?
$1559 tradersopen
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What will the homicide rate be in Mexico for 2024?
$873 tradersResolved
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Will AWS have an operating margin >= 30% for 2028?
$201 tradersopen
41%