Manifold Creator
lu
@lu
Markets by lu
Who will win the tournament 8. Bamberger Jugger Turnier?
$18K23 tradersResolved
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Which team will win the Jugger World Club Championship 2023?
$17K11 tradersResolved
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Who will win the Jugger tournament 15. Thüringer Meisterschaft?
$7K1 tradersResolved
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Will MM clients of an improperly resolved market retrieve 90% of their deposits by Nov 30, 2022?
$7K22 tradersResolved
4%
Who will win the 2023 Jugger tournament in Dresden?
$6K6 tradersResolved
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Will EA funding in 2023 be higher than in 2021?
$4K53 tradersResolved
85%
There be more new ML-apps in 2023 than in 2022?
$3K16 tradersResolved
86%
Who will be the top 8 teams at the tournament 8. Bamberger Jugger Turnier?
$3K6 tradersResolved
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Will there be >5 EA orgs shutting down in 2022?
$2K13 tradersResolved
5%
Will the Mana incentive structure for making markets be changed in 2022?
$2K13 tradersResolved
5%
RSA-2048 will be broken in 2023.
$2K9 tradersResolved
1%
Will Scott Alexander be for or against scandal markets in December?
$1K17 tradersResolved
95%
Will EA funding in 2023 be higher than in 2022?
$1K32 tradersResolved
25%
Will there be public knowledge of a major IT-Security incident at a well-known EA org before 2024?
$87813 tradersResolved
7%
Will the "Russia attacks NATO in 2022" market resolve properly?
$7869 tradersResolved
94%
Will a top-8 team be disqualified in the Jugger WCC 2023?
$5838 tradersResolved
74%
How much funding will EA get in 2023?
$55713 tradersResolved
49%
Will @yayawong be inactive or banned in 2022?
$4223 tradersResolved
95%
Will any of the currently big tokens blow up before 2024?
$3177 tradersResolved
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Will at least one German team publish an official statement on fairplay or rules at WCC 2023?
$3034 tradersResolved
7%
Will a jersey be transported from Bamberg to Romano?
$2388 tradersResolved
78%
Will prediction markets on the trustworthiness of users be used to combat fraud?
$20110 tradersResolved
59%
Will new sanctions be included in the German Jugger rule book before 2025?
$1668 tradersResolved
60%
How will rewards for creating markets look like at the end of 2022?
$1602 tradersResolved
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Will DKP Double Pin be used in the 2023 Dresden Jugger Tournament finals?
$1477 tradersResolved
68%
Will there be a major change to the balancing of German Jugger Spars before 2025?
$1266 tradersResolved
69%
Will the German Jugger Rules explicitly regulate simultaneous hitting and pinning before 2025?
$784 tradersResolved
23%
Will Felix win in a best-of-19 against Lu at Dresden 2023?
$704 tradersResolved
45%
Who will be the top 8 teams at the tournament 8. Bamberger Jugger Turnier?
$531 tradersResolved
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How many trivial markets will there be in 2022?
$501 tradersResolved
10%
Will Munich Monks reach the top-12 branch in the WCC?
$501 tradersResolved
80%
Will Rigor Mortis reach the top-12 branch in the WCC?
$501 tradersResolved
80%
Will Nomadas reach the top-12 branch in the WCC?
$401 tradersResolved
76%
Will the German Jugger rules adopt a mandatory qwik-referee before 2025?
$395 tradersResolved
39%
Will The Fellowship reach the top-12 branch in the WCC?
$301 tradersResolved
72%
Which questions will I include in a survey on fairplay at WCC 2023?
$201 tradersResolved
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If I do a survey on fairplay at WCC, will I find the results interesting?
$30 tradersResolved
53%
If I do a survey on fairplay at WCC, will I find the results interesting?
$30 tradersResolved
53%
How many turns will a DKP play in the 2023 Dresden Jugger Tournament finals?
$00 tradersResolved
20%
Who will be the top 8 teams at the tournament 8. Bamberger Jugger Turnier?
$00 tradersResolved
50%