Manifold Creator
Long 🐹
@long
Markets by Long 🐹
Will there be a Twitter boycott in 2023?
$16K24 tradersResolved
0%
Which companies will join the S&P 500 by 2025? [Universal Free Response Market]
$13K18 tradersResolved
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Will Rational Animations post a new video in July
$10K8 tradersResolved
100%
Will Lex Friedman post an interview with Julian Assange before the end of November?
$8K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will I have procured a pizza with the help of the Manifold community before or on May 22, 2024
$7K31 tradersResolved
11%
Will this market have more than 1000 trades (not unique traders), while the transaction volume stays below M20,000
$5K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will my Ryanair flight to Porto FR4585 be delayed for more than 25 minutes?
$4K8 tradersResolved
0%
Will I get out of Mana-poverty and stay debt free until the end of the year?
$4K24 tradersResolved
2%
Will any of my two flights today be delayed for more than 25 minutes? (FR 9972 to Cologne, W67724 to Skopje)
$4K8 tradersResolved
98%
On Oct 1, 2024, will there be more Meta Quest 3 devices sold than Apple Vision Pro devices?
$3K21 tradersResolved
97%
Will my Swiss Air flight to Barcelona LX1956 be delayed for more than 25 minutes?
$3K12 tradersResolved
99%
Will any restaurant serve hybrid-rice (rice grains integrated with animal cells) regularly by the end of 2026?
$3K41 tradersopen
8%
Will my Whizz Air flight W67725 from Skopje to Friedrichshafen be delayed for more than 25 minutes?
$3K13 tradersResolved
5%
Will at least 15 user post pictures taken from Manifest Conference
$3K17 tradersResolved
84%
Will any restaurant serve hybrid-rice (rice grains with animal cells) by the end of 2028? [Extended Deadline Version]
$2K21 tradersopen
32%
Will my Whizz Air flight to Skopje W67724 be delayed for more than 25 minutes?
$2K5 tradersResolved
3%
Who will promote to Diamond in the Pessimistic Chimeras League
$2K9 tradersResolved
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Will I get bump up to Business Class on any of my Qatar Airways flights from Zurich to Singapore?
$2K8 tradersResolved
2%
Will Threads have something similar to Twitter Spaces during their launch?
$1K14 tradersResolved
4%
Will Season 5 league close today after 8 am Pacific Time?
$9448 tradersResolved
98%
Will Season 5 league close today before 3 am Pacific Time?
$9417 tradersResolved
1%
Will Threads have a character limit of 1000 or less at the time of their launch?
$82611 tradersResolved
94%
Singapore Stock 🇸🇬
$3009 tradersopen
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Will Resend have more downloads than SendGrid in 2026
$2124 tradersopen
52%
Will any of my two flights from ZRH to SIN have a delay of more than 25 min?
$1958 tradersResolved
15%
Conditional to Ko Wen-je being elected as the next president of Taiwan, will he succeed in amending the constitution?
$464 tradersResolved
30%
Will I figure out how I can create Free Responses and Permanent Markets and be able to create these by myself?
$255 tradersResolved
66%
Let's create our "pizza moment"
$00 tradersResolved
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Help me get out of Mana-poverty!
$00 tradersopen
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