Manifold Creator
Lisa Marsh
@lisamarsh
Markets by Lisa Marsh
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections?
$1.1M391 tradersResolved
1%
Will Rep. George Santos (R-NY) remain in office until the scheduled end of his Congressional term?
$129K201 tradersResolved
1%
What will be true about the next UK general election?
$111K142 tradersResolved
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Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Montana?
$75K154 tradersResolved
3%
Will a Democrat win the 2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election?
$59K104 tradersResolved
100%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be one of the top three candidates in the 2024 Iowa Republican caucuses?
$49K131 tradersResolved
0%
Will the Liberal Democrats be the third-largest party at the next UK general election (third-largest number of seats)?
$36K89 tradersResolved
99%
Will anyone other than Trump or DeSantis win a state in the 2024 Republican primaries?
$34K112 tradersResolved
100%
Will Ron DeSantis be one of the top two candidates in the 2024 New Hampshire Republican primary?
$31K77 tradersResolved
1%
Will the U.K. Conservative Party lead in a national poll in 2023?
$29K49 tradersResolved
0%
Will Kyrsten Sinema win the 2024 Senate election in Arizona?
$29K50 tradersResolved
0%
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Texas?
$24K114 tradersResolved
2%
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Florida?
$22K21 tradersResolved
2%
What will be true of the next permanent leader of the UK Conservative Party?
$21K44 tradersResolved
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Which seats will the Green Party of England and Wales win at the next UK general election?
$21K29 tradersResolved
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Will the Republican candidate win every county in West Virginia in the 2024 presidential election?
$17K25 tradersResolved
99%
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in West Virginia?
$17K32 tradersResolved
1%
How many seats will the Scottish National Party (SNP) win in Scotland at the next UK general election?
$16K13 tradersResolved
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Will a Democrat win the 2023 Mississippi gubernatorial election?
$16K47 tradersResolved
0%
Will Ron DeSantis be one of the top two candidates in the 2024 Iowa Republican caucuses?
$16K59 tradersResolved
99%
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Michigan?
$16K35 tradersResolved
99%
Will the next leader of the Conservative Party be Penny Mordaunt?
$15K25 tradersResolved
1%
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Wisconsin?
$14K21 tradersResolved
99%
Will the Democratic presidential candidate in 2024 win any states that voted for Trump in 2020?
$14K51 tradersResolved
1%
Will the next leader of the Conservative Party be Kemi Badenoch?
$14K42 tradersResolved
99%
Will the next leader of the Conservative Party be Suella Braverman?
$13K29 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Republican presidential candidate in 2024 win any states that voted for Biden in 2020?
$13K21 tradersResolved
99%
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Ohio?
$13K48 tradersResolved
2%
Will the next leader of the Conservative Party be James Cleverly?
$11K17 tradersResolved
1%
Will Ohio Issue 1 (60% Vote Requirement to Approve Constitutional Amendments Measure) pass on August 8, 2023?
$11K18 tradersResolved
0%
Will a liberal candidate win the 2023 Wisconsin Supreme Court election?
$11K22 tradersResolved
99%
Will the Green Party win any seats in England at the next general election?
$11K56 tradersResolved
98%
Will we find something showing equal or greater architectural advancement to Gobekli Tepe, from before 11,000 BC?
$11K58 tradersopen
33%
What will be the exact date of the next UK general election?
$10K24 tradersResolved
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Will the next leader of the Conservative Party be Michael Gove?
$10K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will Nikki Haley be one of the top three candidates in the 2024 Iowa Republican caucuses?
$10K24 tradersResolved
100%
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US Senate election in Minnesota?
$10K20 tradersResolved
99%
Will the Electoral College map of the 2024 presidential election be the same as 2020?
$9K24 tradersResolved
1%
What will Reform UK's highest constituency vote share be at the next UK general election (excluding the Speaker's seat)?
$9K28 tradersResolved
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Will Democrats win a majority in the Virginia House of Delegates in the 2023 election?
$9K22 tradersResolved
99%