Manifold Creator
James Oofou
@level2
Markets by James Oofou
Will Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
$41K40 tradersopen
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How much will it cost to generate 10 minutes of video with Sora?
$33K55 tradersResolved
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Will Suno AI Reach 100k Twitter followers in 2024?
$15K44 tradersResolved
1%
Artemis III flown with a crewed landing? x Will China land a person on the Moon before the US can return to the Moon?
$14K27 tradersopen
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Will Udio pass Suno in Twitter followers in 2024?
$13K19 tradersResolved
1%
Gemini 3.0 Saturday?
$11K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will Artemis III be flown with a crewed landing?
$11K26 tradersopen
2%
When will Udio pass Suno in Twitter followers?
$11K12 tradersResolved
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Trump Wins 2024 Presidential Election x China Lands a Person on the Moon before the US Can Return to the Moon
$10K26 tradersopen
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On which year will China first land a person on the Moon?
$2K27 tradersopen
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S&P 500® Value at Close on Monday?
$2K7 tradersResolved
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Anthropic acquired by another company before EOY 2026?
$2K35 tradersopen
6%
Google releases an AI world model game by June 1st 2026?
$1K12 tradersResolved
74%
Will NASA's Artemis 3 mission be successful?
$1K18 tradersopen
80%
OpenAI announces an interactive world model by June 1st 2026?
$1K13 tradersopen
1%
OpenAI has AI CEO by EOY 2026?
$1K8 tradersopen
4%
Nano Banana 2 built on Gemini 3?
$1K12 tradersResolved
99%
Trump Wins 2024 x AGI before 2029
$1K4 tradersopen
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Anthropic reaches $1T+ valuation before OpenAI?
$1K22 tradersopen
37%
GOOG $300 this week?
$1K15 tradersResolved
1%
Google releases a vibe coding app by EOY?
$1K20 tradersResolved
87%
S&P 500® Reaches 6800 Today?
$1K11 tradersResolved
98%
OpenAI releases a creative writing model by June 1st 2026?
$7689 tradersopen
3%
S&P 500® Reaches 6900 This Month?
$76310 tradersResolved
95%
NVDA > $400 at EOY 2027?
$74511 tradersopen
46%
In 2030, which of the following prompts will an AI be able to accurately follow to generate a high-quality movie?
$72316 tradersopen
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Will a major AI lab enter the aerospace industry by EOY 2026?
$69513 tradersopen
85%
Will AI make an unambiguously novel scientific discovery in 2026?
$67821 tradersopen
81%
Google releases Sora competitor by EOY?
$4969 tradersResolved
4%
QQQ passes SPY by EOY 2026?
$4567 tradersopen
58%
OpenAI releases a creative writing model by EOY?
$3949 tradersResolved
15%
Google owns >20% of Anthropic by EOY 2026?
$3849 tradersopen
31%
How Many Months Will the Nasdaq-100 Index®'s Winning Streak Last?
$3712 tradersResolved
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Will the next person to walk on the moon be American?
$37112 tradersopen
58%
Will Phil Hellmuth win a WSOP gold bracelet in 2024?
$3647 tradersResolved
3%
Will a Chinese model top LMArena by EOY 2026?
$3309 tradersopen
34%
Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a female walk on the Moon as part of China's first such mission?
$2867 tradersopen
42%
Will the first successful Artemis crewed lunar landing be done using a Blue Origin lander?
$27711 tradersopen
28%
Which AI lab will be the first to solve a millennium prize problem?
$24111 tradersopen
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Will China land an astronaut on Mars before the USA does?
$22311 tradersopen
34%