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Manifold Creator

Adorján Márk Kovács

@koadma

Markets by Adorján Márk Kovács

Will I run a sub-20 5k before May 10, 2025?

$101K40 tradersResolved
1%

🌩️✨📚 What will happen in Stormlight 5?

$39K23 tradersResolved
—

Will Hollow Knight: Silksong release in February, 2024?

$2K12 tradersResolved
1%

Does Manifold think that 0 is divisible by 0?

$2K50 tradersResolved
77%

Will I have higher mana net worth than my brother at the end of February?

$2K10 tradersResolved
99%

Will Anthropic's Claude 3 Opus be publicly available in the EU by May 2024?

$6742 tradersResolved
65%

Will I understand what mistake I'm making in this simple Manifold share price/market probability calculation this week?

$3586 tradersResolved
94%

In a family of 2 kids, at least 1 kid is a boy born on a Monday. Given this, what is the chance that both kids are boys?

$025 tradersopen
—

Is 0 divisible by 0?

$062 tradersResolved
—
9
Markets Created
Total Volume$146K
Total Traders230
Resolved8
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