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Manifold Creator

Kiudee

@kiudee

Markets by Kiudee

Will the German parliament reform the Schuldenbremse before the next election?

$68K39 tradersResolved
2%

Will Volt be elected into the next Bundestag (2025)?

$30K47 tradersResolved
1%

Will Gemini Ultra be part of Google One before 2024-07-01?

$11K25 tradersResolved
100%

How will Germany address the €60B gap after the court's ruling on debt reallocation into the climate fund?

$8K40 tradersResolved
—

Will the FDP leave the current German Government Coalition by April 2024?

$5K15 tradersResolved
1%

Will "The Wayward Realms" be released as Early Access by EOY 2024?

$5K5 tradersResolved
3%

Will the Kickstarter Campaign of The Wayward Realms reach the stretch goal of $800k?

$4K8 tradersResolved
4%

LLM reaches >90% Brier score on Prophet Arena by 2026?

$3K12 tradersResolved
5%

Who will be the first player to achieve a sub 1h time on Deep Dip 2?

$3K9 tradersResolved
—

When will Tesla FSD (supervised) be widely available in the EU?

$3K4 tradersopen
—

Will Billy Mitchell win his defamation lawsuit against Karl Jobst?

$2K15 tradersResolved
11%

Will the current German government abolish/reduce the company car privilege?

$2K16 tradersResolved
14%

Will the paper proposing two big bangs be "confirmed" by EOY 2025?

$1K9 tradersResolved
3%

Will "The Wayward Realms" be released as Early Access by EOY 2025?

$2001 tradersResolved
10%
14
Markets Created
Total Volume$145K
Total Traders245
Resolved13
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