Manifold Creator
kenakofer
@kenakofer
Markets by kenakofer
Will Alex O'Connor profess Christianity before 2026?
$17K27 tradersResolved
1%
Will Star Voting pass in Eugene, Oregon?
$17K28 tradersResolved
2%
⚽Which country will win the 2024 Olympic women's soccer gold medal?
$14K34 tradersResolved
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K&A first-time parents in 2024?
$14K12 tradersResolved
0%
Our baby born when?
$12K13 tradersResolved
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Was Amelia Earheart's plane just discovered in the Pacific?
$9K49 tradersResolved
9%
The Tumultuous Trial of Tommy McBayes (Rules in description)
$8K23 tradersResolved
97%
Will Minecraft Java be dropped from the launcher by 2025?
$7K15 tradersResolved
1%
(Physics) Can one balance on an infinitely narrow beam? (M100 prize for best comment)
$6K27 tradersResolved
93%
Will a chatbot read sheet music before 2027?
$5K48 tradersopen
39%
Will Canada implement a national pharmacare program before 2026?
$5K25 tradersResolved
90%
Will we get an "ought" from an "is" before 2030?
$4K29 tradersopen
20%
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
$3K32 tradersopen
93%
Silksong release date on Steam (in months of 2023)?
$3K22 tradersResolved
95%
Will chatting with chatbots be seen as worse than video games for kids by 2026?
$3K42 tradersResolved
68%
Should a programmer in 2027 learn to touch type on a keyboard?
$3K46 tradersopen
90%
Will Manifold add a "Permanent" market type before 2024?
$3K14 tradersResolved
98%
Will half the UK population be vegan before 2030?
$3K27 tradersopen
3%
Will Robin Hanson debate Eliezer Yudkowsky on AI risk in 2023?
$3K16 tradersResolved
2%
Does a perfect God exist? (All good, all powerful, all knowing)
$3K51 tradersopen
18%
Which Youtube atheists will profess Christianity before 2025?
$3K11 tradersResolved
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Will I pass Stanford's intro machine learning course on Coursera within 8 weeks?
$3K8 tradersResolved
98%
Will I run 10 miles in a single activity sometime before April?
$2K12 tradersResolved
98%
Will Idaho take 10%+ of Oregon's land before 2030?
$2K22 tradersopen
8%
Will Metaculus predict [Human Extinction 2100] as 2%+ at the New Year?
$1K6 tradersopen
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Will a US city ban meat sales before 2030?
$1K25 tradersopen
10%
Will I keep up my streak to 100 days on Manifold?
$1K14 tradersResolved
96%
Will Solary win the Trackmania All-Stars Championship? (Stage 1)
$1K2 tradersResolved
0%
How many times will @AIDRIVR disengage Tesla FSD in his first v12 drive?
$1K6 tradersResolved
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Will the US Gov. support Firefox on _____
$1K5 tradersResolved
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Will any regional team reach the Trackmania All-Stars Playoffs? (Stage 1)
$1K1 tradersResolved
0%
Will a Challenger team win the Trackmania All-Stars Championship? (Stage 1)
$1K1 tradersResolved
0%
Will a Grand League team win the Trackmania All-Stars Championship? (Stage 1)
$1K1 tradersResolved
100%
Will we accidentally reveal our baby's gender before birth?
$96110 tradersResolved
7%
What will be the final color composition of r/place?
$8623 tradersResolved
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Will a Manifolder eat cultivated tiger meat before 2025? (pics or it didn't happen)
$7209 tradersResolved
5%
When will my child have a belly button?
$7163 tradersResolved
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Will off shore wind turbines be found responsible for a whale death before 2026?
$6929 tradersResolved
5%
Will we have a 10+ lb baby in 2023?
$62210 tradersResolved
8%
Which voting system will be preferred for elections in 2030?
$59517 tradersopen
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