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Manifold Creator

keltan

@keltan

Markets by keltan

Who will attend Aella’s plzdontkillus

$9K12 tradersopen
—

Will AI allow us to talk to animals by 2034?

$9K56 tradersopen
57%

After flying out from Australia for LessOnline/camp, will me/my non-Rationalist GF be convinced to stay for manifest?

$6K8 tradersResolved
97%

Will the podcast “Dear Hank and John” be renamed “Dear John and Hank” in 2028?

$6K8 tradersopen
81%

I’m About to Get on Flight FJ910 SYD > NAN, then I’ll Catch FJ879 NAN > SFO. Will either of my flights crash?

$3K5 tradersResolved
5%

Sora app reaches 50 billion daily views by end of 2026?

$3K18 tradersopen
7%

Will there be a LessOnline 2025?

$2K25 tradersResolved
99%

Will GPT-5 Appear on any Major Podcast in 2025?

$2K7 tradersResolved
15%

Someone makes “LessOnline 2025 Prop Bets”?

$1K10 tradersResolved
98%

Will Someone Make an Obsidian.md plugin for Fatebook Embeds This Year?

$6002 tradersResolved
69%

Would creating a Manifold Minecraft server be successful?

$655 tradersResolved
35%

Would creating a Manifold Minecraft server be successful?

$016 tradersResolved
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12
Markets Created
Total Volume$43K
Total Traders172
Resolved8
View on Manifold →
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