Manifold Creator
kamn
@kamn
Markets by kamn
English articles on Grokipedia by end of 2025?
$9K10 tradersResolved
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Days I'll create a market in May?
$3K6 tradersResolved
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Days I'll create a market in Dec?
$3K9 tradersResolved
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Days I'll create a market in November?
$3K7 tradersResolved
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Will SPY close above $737.62 on Friday, May 15, 2026?
$2K21 tradersResolved
99%
Will Cloudflare have another outage by Feb 2026?
$2K21 tradersResolved
98%
What will be the rating of S5E8 of Stranger Things?
$2K13 tradersResolved
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The Joined in Pluribus will start to build a interstellar transmission system?
$1K16 tradersResolved
98%
Will I have a market with more than 21 traders in May?
$1K12 tradersopen
69%
What will be the closing price of QQQ at market close Dec-11?
$1K3 tradersResolved
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Total cases of measles in Utah at the end of Jan-2026?
$1K5 tradersResolved
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QQQ price at market close on Nov 11th?
$1K4 tradersResolved
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Will Robotaxis in Austin have no safety monitors in 3 weeks?
$9568 tradersResolved
98%
Which quarter in 2026 will early access Subnautica 2 come out?
$9216 tradersResolved
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Will Serve Robotics (SERV) Stock price be higher than 10.12 in one month?
$9186 tradersResolved
99%
Will Subnautica 2 have more peak players in the first month of Early Access than Subnautica: Below Zero?
$9105 tradersResolved
99%
Fear and Greed Index at 3 or below in the next week?
$90110 tradersResolved
1%
Fear and Greed Index on 1 Jan 2026?
$8795 tradersResolved
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House votes on ACA enhanced premium tax credits by December 31?
$7706 tradersResolved
8%
Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026?
$74914 tradersopen
9%
SPY price at market close Nov 3rd?
$6742 tradersResolved
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How many outages will CloudFlare have in 2026?
$6748 tradersopen
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Will US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
$59419 tradersopen
15%
What will the US obesity rate be at the end of 2026?
$4716 tradersopen
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How many Kagi News Android downloads by Nov 1?
$4494 tradersResolved
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Will there be a major shift in cancer survival rates by 2030?
$4128 tradersopen
40%
Will I take 70,000 steps this week?
$39115 tradersResolved
93%
When will AI reduce Cost of Goods and Services?
$3787 tradersopen
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Days I'll create a market in June?
$3703 tradersopen
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Will Claude Chrome extension have a higher rating by End of Dec?
$3536 tradersResolved
90%
AI reduces public cloud spending by end of 2027?
$3406 tradersopen
28%
Will Iron Lung have a higher IMDB rating than The Edge of Sleep?
$3295 tradersResolved
6%
Will SPY close above $745.64 on Friday, May 29, 2026?
$29814 tradersResolved
87%
Will Avatar 4 have a better opening weekend than Avatar: Fire and Ash?
$28313 tradersopen
67%
Will I use Hermes Agent for more than a week?
$27211 tradersResolved
66%
Will ChatGPT personal finance release for Plus Plans in 2026?
$2668 tradersopen
65%
Which Cloud Provider will have the next major outage?
$2487 tradersResolved
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More than 17 states ban Ranked Choice Voting before 2027?
$2336 tradersopen
70%
Will the World Tension Index get above 100 in 2026?
$2308 tradersopen
47%
Dispatch Season 2 released in H1 2026?
$2202 tradersopen
9%