Manifold Creator
jskf
@jskf
Markets by jskf
Will Mira's main GPT-4 Sudoku market resolve YES?
$146K119 tradersResolved
1%
Who will be the next prime minister of the Netherlands following the 2023 Election?
$46K105 tradersResolved
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When will I first Slay the Spire at ascension level 20 (heart kill edition)?
$32K7 tradersResolved
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Conditional on Prigozhin plane crash being confirmed, will it be confirmed that it was shot down? by 2024
$27K88 tradersResolved
1%
Will I stay in the Diamond league after the 4th season ends?
$23K22 tradersResolved
0%
What will happen in Settled's Nightmare Mode OSRS series?
$21K27 tradersclosed
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If Kamala Harris wins the 2024 election, will Elon Musk be arrested within 3 months of her taking office?
$17K60 tradersResolved
6%
Will any country implement a tax on meat products due to environmental concerns by the end of 2025? (M$300 subsidy)
$16K61 tradersclosed
2%
Will I place 5th exactly in Psychic Faeries season 4?
$14K12 tradersResolved
0%
Will @jskf be trustworthy-ish by the end of 2023?
$13K20 tradersResolved
100%
Before the end of 2023, will another Friday prod push cause major problems on Manifold?
$13K45 tradersResolved
99%
Which parties will gain seats in the next Dutch General Election?
$13K29 tradersResolved
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What podcast will Ilya Sutskever first appear on in 2024?
$12K87 tradersResolved
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Will @jskf be trustworthy-ish by the end of 2024?
$12K11 tradersResolved
100%
Which parties will have a minister or state secretary in the next Cabinet of the Netherlands?
$11K25 tradersResolved
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When will I first Slay the Spire at ascension level 20?
$11K6 tradersResolved
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Will flight FR9641 from AMS to DUB be canceled?
$11K4 tradersResolved
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If Kamala Harris wins the 2024 presidential election, will she try to ban X within 3 months of taking office?
$11K41 tradersResolved
6%
Will anyone earn more than 100,000 mana total from attending Manifest?
$10K27 tradersResolved
2%
Will another recreational expedition to the Titanic take place before 2026?
$10K28 tradersResolved
4%
Conditional on Prigozhin plane crash being confirmed, will it be confirmed that it was caused by sabotage? by 2024
$9K70 tradersResolved
93%
Will Jimmy Carter die in a plane crash?
$9K18 tradersResolved
1%
Will Alexei Navalny die in a plane crash? by 2030
$8K23 tradersResolved
1%
Was Pavel Durov lured to France with a dinner invitation from Macron?
$8K59 tradersResolved
3%
Will Manifold turn off the entire* API again before the main LK-99 market resolves?
$8K14 tradersResolved
3%
2023 Dutch General Election: will cabinet formation succeed?
$8K28 tradersResolved
97%
What's going to happen with "Will men report they were spanked more often in childhood than women?"
$7K21 tradersResolved
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Will Stripe threaten to stop processing Manifold payments by April 2024 because of manifold.love?
$7K22 tradersResolved
1%
Will flight EI0611 from AMS to DUB be canceled?
$7K5 tradersResolved
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Will the next person to set foot on the moon be a woman?
$6K36 tradersopen
46%
@PeterWildeford by July 16th 2024 (negligible M$ liquidity subsidy!!)
$6K30 tradersResolved
11%
Will Geert Wilders be the Dutch Prime Minister at any point before his death?
$6K29 tradersopen
8%
Which of these parties will be the first to suffer "zetelroof" in the House after the Dutch 2023 general election?
$5K13 tradersResolved
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If I get tickets for LessOnline/Mystery Summer Camp/Manifest, will I actually go?
$5K15 tradersResolved
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Will Sergey Surovikin die in a plane crash? by 2026
$5K17 tradersclosed
2%
Will it be common for non-programmers to create small scripts using AI in their everyday work or life? By 2027
$4K60 tradersopen
29%
Will I lose over 1000 mana to stupid mistakes this month?
$4K24 tradersResolved
2%
How many seats will Pieter Omtzigt's NSC have in the Dutch House of Representatives after the next general election?
$3K11 tradersResolved
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On how many days will I go to the gym next week? (Jan 29 - Feb 4)
$3K9 tradersResolved
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Will there be a Manifold outage this week? (Oct 8 - Oct 15)
$3K15 tradersResolved
2%