Manifold Creator
Josh Bleecher Snyder
@josharian
Markets by Josh Bleecher Snyder
On what grounds does the US Supreme Court overturn Colorado on Trump’s candidacy?
$9K41 tradersResolved
—
Will any Commonwealth countries become republics during 2024 or 2025?
$6K18 tradersResolved
2%
When will the NYT officially call the 2024 US Presidential Election?
$5K13 tradersResolved
—
Will AI-generated images still be full of funny spelling errors on Jan 1, 2025?
$4K47 tradersResolved
84%
Will Elon Musk ruin Matt Levine’s (Money Stuff’s) holiday?
$4K8 tradersResolved
2%
Will any question I ask have > 25 traders by EOY?
$3K9 tradersResolved
98%
How will Netanyahu leave office?
$3K27 tradersopen
—
Will Joe Biden use the word "Sudan" during the 2024 State of the Union address?
$2K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will we know any of the NIST elliptic curve hash seeds by July 4, 2024?
$2K7 tradersResolved
1%
Luddite : Industrialization :: ______ : AI (free response)
$2K38 tradersResolved
—
Will AI or AI-assisted math break AES-256 before quantum computing does?
$1K19 tradersopen
16%
Will there be any complete DNS root server outages lasting more than an hour in 2024?
$4686 tradersResolved
5%
Will there be any $1 billion lawsuits in the USA in 2024?
$3196 tradersResolved
70%
Will there be any fatalities attributed to hacking of self-driving cars during 2024?
$3117 tradersResolved
8%
Will Apple announce its own GPU in 2024?
$2897 tradersResolved
10%
Will the migratory monarch butterfly be declared extinct by 2028?
$1727 tradersopen
14%
Will SCOTUS allow video cameras in the court by 11/7/2028?
$1453 tradersopen
6%
What will CDR (carbon capture) cost per ton at the start of 2030?
$1207 tradersopen
—
Will AI-generated images still be full of funny spelling errors on Jan 1, 2026?
$663 tradersResolved
55%