Manifold Creator
Josh
@josh
Markets by Josh
Will Nintendo's successor to the Switch contain "Switch" in its name?
$19K98 tradersResolved
99%
Will Donald Trump be eligible to vote in the 2024 election?
$10K59 tradersResolved
98%
Will the number of YES holders be more than the number of NO holders?
$9K36 tradersResolved
3%
Will Kelsey Piper receive a Pulitzer Prize within the next 10 years?
$5K36 tradersopen
19%
[planecrash] Qvq Xrygunz fubj Noebtnvy n gehr vzntr bs Puryvnk naq vgf crbcyr orvat qrfgeblrq?
$4K24 tradersResolved
1%
Will OpenOffice.org be officially declared obsolete/unmaintained/archived by the Apache Foundation in 2024/2025?
$4K39 tradersResolved
5%
Will the year of the self-driving car happen before the year of the Linux desktop
$4K56 tradersopen
93%
In "in His strength...", will Iomedae or Alfirin gain any levels while on Earth?
$2K10 tradersResolved
3%
Will any non-Democrat vote for a Democratic Speaker or vote "present"
$1K2 tradersResolved
100%
Will the M4-based MacBook / MacBook Air have an OLED screen option?
$7989 tradersResolved
4%
In 'take it apart and put it together again', will Oliver successfully execute a large monetary exploit?
$45611 tradersResolved
51%
Which political compass question will get the lowest variance within Manifold?
$43611 tradersResolved
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Will the Framework laptop offer physical mouse buttons by August 2024
$2536 tradersResolved
15%
[planecrash] Why was Fe Anar told not to augment Wisdom?
$24212 tradersResolved
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[planecrash] Pbaqvgvbany ba "ahyy npgvba vv" orvat n cybg gb ghea Noebtnvy, jub cevznevyl jnagf gung gb unccra?
$2118 tradersResolved
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Will "to face the death you're never that far from" have a substantial update in January?
$1855 tradersResolved
11%
Where is the Basement of the World, in dath ilan?
$1738 tradersopen
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Will the Framework Laptop offer an OLED screen before August 2024
$1565 tradersResolved
16%
In "aviation is the most dangerous routine activity", was the ending predetermined?
$685 tradersResolved
77%