Manifold Creator
Jon Simon
@jonsimon
Markets by Jon Simon
Will Manifold support direct messaging between users by end-of-year 2023
$40K37 tradersResolved
100%
Will Manifold allow users to create Yes/No Markets that aren't initialized to 50/50 by end-of-year 2023?
$23K61 tradersResolved
10%
Will Manifold allow comment editing by May 2023?
$19K30 tradersResolved
0%
Will CNN say CNN?
$17K44 tradersResolved
1%
Will Manifold support Limit Selling by Oct 2023?
$16K40 tradersResolved
0%
Will Elon Musk regain his title as "world's richest man" by the end of the decade?
$15K39 tradersResolved
99%
Will the market cap of ETH surpass the market cap of BTC by end-of-year 2025?
$14K28 tradersResolved
1%
Will the sun not not not explode on April 15th 2023?
$13K23 tradersResolved
100%
Will Manifold add a Best Calibrated Leaderboard by May 2023?
$12K10 tradersResolved
0%
Will the sun not not explode on April 15th 2023?
$9K25 tradersResolved
1%
Will Manifold allow you to delete your own comments by October 2023?
$7K24 tradersResolved
1%
Will the sun not explode on April 15th 2023?
$6K21 tradersResolved
99%
Did the US suicide rate increase in 2022?
$5K24 tradersResolved
95%
Will Belarus invade Ukraine by the end of the year?
$5K47 tradersResolved
2%
Will Disney take legal action against someone using the Steamboat Willie character within a year of its copyright expiring?
$5K34 tradersclosed
11%
Will the sun explode on April 15th 2023?
$5K18 tradersResolved
1%
Will a movie with a budget >$500M be released by 2026?
$5K29 tradersResolved
53%
Will K2-18b be generally agreed to harbor alien life by 2027?
$4K32 tradersopen
5%
Will Turkey invade Syria by July 2023?
$4K42 tradersResolved
5%
Will BTC reach a new all-time high by April?
$3K22 tradersResolved
96%
Will a movie grossing >$3B be released by 2028?
$3K39 tradersopen
46%
Will Manifold allow you to delete your own comments by April 2023?
$3K17 tradersResolved
2%
Will YouTuber @acollierastro have >100k subscribers by 2025?
$3K9 tradersResolved
99%
A compromising recording of a political opponent will be blamed on AI voice synthesis in the 2024 US presidential election
$3K29 tradersResolved
5%
Will "Binging" replace "Googling" as a term for online search by 2030?
$3K53 tradersopen
3%
Will Egypt go to war with Ethiopia by 2030?
$3K32 tradersopen
25%
Will Manifold fix the profit chart bug causing sudden crashes & spikes by end-of-year 2023?
$3K13 tradersResolved
92%
Will Manifold support displaying higher precision Mana values by end-of-year 2023?
$3K22 tradersResolved
2%
Will the average American man weigh >200lbs in 2030?
$2K21 tradersopen
15%
Will Manifold add a chart for Mana inflation rate on their Stats page by 2024?
$2K13 tradersResolved
2%
AI voice synthesis will be used to fabricate dirt on a political opponent in the 2024 US presidential election
$2K17 tradersResolved
23%
Will BTC reach a new all-time high by the end of 2024?
$2K7 tradersResolved
99%
Will BTC reach a new all-time high by July?
$2K15 tradersResolved
97%
Will Manifold allow market creators to remove other users' comments by the end of 2023?
$1K8 tradersResolved
97%
Will life expectancy in any country pass 90 before 2030?
$92020 tradersopen
11%
Will BTC reach a new all-time high by October?
$83710 tradersResolved
97%
Will "Store Now Decrypt Later" attacks be responsible for the theft of >$1B of funds by 2030?
$68211 tradersopen
19%
Will life expectancy in any country pass 90 before 2040?
$67022 tradersopen
56%
Will Mickey Mouse appear in a slasher film in 2024?
$5419 tradersResolved
93%
How much will the average American man weigh in 2030?
$33010 tradersopen
40%