Manifold Creator
jml
@jml
Markets by jml
Will Google's search market share drop below 86% for any month before January 1st, 2025?
$50K23 tradersResolved
3%
Paramount Skydance acquires Warner Brothers Discovery before 10/31/2026
$17K25 tradersopen
63%
Will Matt Levine's newsletter refer to Manifold Markets by name within the next 30 days?
$8K12 tradersResolved
1%
Will the NYC Alt Side Parking (@NYCASP) twitter account post at least twice about October 20th, 2023?
$2K8 tradersResolved
1%
What percentage of school-age Americans (K-12) will be reported as having been homeschooled in the spring of 2024?
$1K2 tradersopen
—
Will the word "boredom" appear in Berkshire Hathaway's annual shareholder letter for 2023?
$1K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will the FTC sue Visa before 2025?
$8264 tradersResolved
1%
Will the next McDonald's 10-Q in 2023 include the terms "semaglutide" or "GLP-1."
$3685 tradersResolved
8%
Subscribers by next week
$1072 tradersResolved
—
If I were to punch someone at a bar, would there be legal consequences?
$435 tradersResolved
56%