Manifold Creator
Jake
@jknowak
Markets by Jake
Will S&P500 index value fall below 4750 in February 2024
$13K24 tradersResolved
0%
Will there be any protests or riots in Paris between August 1, 2023, and August 31, 2023?
$7K53 tradersResolved
91%
Will Dune win in 4 or more categories at the 2022 Academy Awards?
$6K23 tradersResolved
59%
Will @PradyuPrasad have 5000+ followers by the end of 2022?
$3K11 tradersResolved
98%
Will Jarosław Kaczyński be the leader of the largest party group in Polish lower house (Sejm) in the parliament at the end of 2023?
$2K26 tradersResolved
95%
Will there be at least one on-site AI Safety/Alignment/MechInt hackathon organized in Poland in 2023?
$2K14 tradersResolved
3%
Will any model of the LMSYS chatbot arena top 30 at the end of 2025 use Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN)?
$2K11 tradersResolved
3%
Will Attack On Titan The Final Season Part 4 be released in September 2023
$2K4 tradersResolved
1%
Will EU ban fur farming by the end of 2023
$2K18 tradersResolved
4%
Which Cloud Infrastructure provider will be the leader in terms market share at the end of 2024
$2K27 tradersResolved
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Will my Manifold net worth be 3000Ṁ or more by the end of 2023?
$2K13 tradersResolved
3%
Will Olivia Colman win Best Actress at the 2022 Academy Awards?
$9989 tradersResolved
25%
Will I be a co-author of a paper, that will appear as a preprint on arXiv, by the end of 2023?
$6597 tradersResolved
4%
Will Google Cloud have 15% or more of Cloud Infrastructure Market Share at the end of 2024
$6467 tradersResolved
4%
Will EU ban fur farming by the end of 2024
$4338 tradersResolved
9%
Will Attack On Titan The Final Season Part 4 be released in November 2023
$1405 tradersResolved
74%
Will langchain have 6 million or more monthly downloads at the end of March 2025
$1156 tradersResolved
37%
Will Attack On Titan The Final Season Part 4 be released in October 2023
$974 tradersResolved
29%
Which Cloud Infrastructure provider will be the leader in terms market share at the end of 2024
$601 tradersResolved
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What 3-6 mo projects one should do to get a ML Engineer job
$00 tradersopen
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What's most likely to increase one's change of getting a ML Engineer job
$02 tradersopen
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