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Manifold Creator

emcemc

@jcp

Markets by emcemc

Will LLMs be able to produce worked solutions to these simple probability questions with hidden Markovian structure by the end of 2023.

$15K100 tradersResolved
9%

Will LLMs be able to solve this simple intransitive urn game by the end of 2023.

$1K11 tradersResolved
3%

Will an LLM be able to provide a correct proof in response to the following query by the end of 2023? (Weierstrass Aprx)

$5288 tradersResolved
6%
3
Markets Created
Total Volume$17K
Total Traders119
Resolved3
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