Manifold Creator
Abelia
@ithildulin
Markets by Abelia
Will I get into PRIMES-USA?
$49K100 tradersResolved
6%
Is 0 a natural number?
$31K194 tradersResolved
50%
Will I get a 5 in AP Bio?
$29K93 tradersResolved
48%
Will Shadow and Bone be renewed for season 3?
$12K27 tradersResolved
2%
Will season 2 of Arcane come out in 2024?
$10K22 tradersResolved
99%
Will I be productive tomorrow?
$10K33 tradersResolved
85%
Will I average 2 hours of math done per day in the next week?
$6K38 tradersResolved
8%
Will I make the JMO?
$6K15 tradersResolved
3%
Will I continue to be productive this entire week?
$6K23 tradersResolved
99%
Will my robotics team (6418) finish building our drivetrain by Thursday of next week?
$5K15 tradersResolved
21%
Will Taylor Swift release Taylor Swift (Taylor's Version) last?
$4K27 tradersopen
15%
Will I catch up with the present issues of Puzzles for Progress by the end of the summer?
$4K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will I complete all schoolwork before 1am for the entirety of this school year?
$4K27 tradersResolved
9%
Will I be late to school again tomorrow?
$3K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will I visit the Manifold building in 2023?
$3K17 tradersResolved
96%
Will I receive a (legit) medal in my violin competition on Thursday?
$3K25 tradersResolved
84%
Will Austin endorse 17 over 16?
$3K17 tradersResolved
92%
Will I have played Honkai: Star Rail by the end of the 2023-2024 school year?
$3K17 tradersResolved
7%
Will I get into PROMYS?
$2K34 tradersResolved
36%
Will Austin publicly endorse 16 or 17 during his visit to Proof?
$2K20 tradersResolved
96%
Will I have made 100 markets by the end of 2023?
$2K41 tradersResolved
10%
Will I see Biden during APEC 2023?
$2K16 tradersResolved
5%
Will I get to school on time for more than half of the weekdays from Nov. 11 to Nov. 17 (during APEC)?
$2K13 tradersResolved
94%
Will I go to IU's 2024 world tour?
$2K11 tradersResolved
2%
Will I get both Ganyu and Shenhe in their upcoming banner? (Genshin Impact)
$1K6 tradersclosed
67%
Will I qualify for AIME through the AMC 10A?
$1K15 tradersResolved
95%
Will I get Ganyu C1?
$1K16 tradersResolved
10%
How many psets will I get through at Ross?
$1K11 tradersResolved
44%
Will I average 1 hour of violin practice per day next week?
$1K14 tradersResolved
86%
How many albums will Taylor Swift release before the age of 40?
$1K18 tradersopen
70%
Will I score a 1600 on the SAT tomorrow?
$90823 tradersResolved
15%
Will there be more than 60 perfect scores on the 2023 AMC 10A?
$86013 tradersclosed
42%
Will I pull Childe?
$82812 tradersResolved
82%
Will I make a market about whether I will Do The Thing?
$8118 tradersResolved
91%
Will 6418 make it into eliminations at SVR?
$74214 tradersResolved
15%
Will I get Arlecchino?
$73813 tradersResolved
79%
Will I hit both my high notes in my concert this Sunday?
$65422 tradersResolved
44%
Will I pull Yelan on the 3.4 banner?
$5867 tradersResolved
23%
Will the vault tracks for 1989 be better than the vault tracks for at least two of the three existing TVs?
$56511 tradersResolved
54%
Will I earn at least an honorable mention for BAMO?
$54515 tradersResolved
62%