Manifold Creator
[inactive]
@inactive1234
Markets by [inactive]
Will the 'risk-free interest rate' market trade at 2% or more for at least 48 out of the last 96 hours of 2024?
$2K6 tradersResolved
1%
Will Pieter Omtzigt exit Dutch national politics before February 2025?
$2K9 tradersResolved
1%
How many parties will tie for the most number of Tweede Kamer seats in the 2023 Dutch general election?
$2K11 tradersResolved
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How big is the advantage of being transgender (if any) compared to height advantage in women's volleyball?
$67713 tradersopen
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How many blog posts will Scott Alexander make to ACX in 2024? Question resolves to log(post count + 1)/log(300).
$61312 tradersclosed
83%
When will the next Elfstedentocht be?
$45120 tradersopen
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Which parties in the 2023 Dutch general election would get a different number of seats with 10,000 extra or fewer votes?
$721 tradersResolved
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Will Fairphone go under before the Ides of March, 2029?
$697 tradersopen
42%
Between 2024 and 2030, how many people will be temporarily or permanently displaced by floods in the Netherlands?
$413 tradersopen
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