Manifold Creator
hath
@hath
Markets by hath
Who will win the Manifest Pitch Competition (as selected by the judges)?
$1.2M34 tradersResolved
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Who will get funding because of their pitch at Manifest 2024?
$221K49 tradersclosed
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Will I run Ascension at any point in July 2023?
$2K9 tradersResolved
9%
Will I run Ascension 1.0 in spring 2023?
$2K8 tradersResolved
6%
How many different people will I go on dates with in 2023?
$1K9 tradersResolved
31%
Will I be accepted to UC Berkeley this year?
$84018 tradersResolved
31%
Will I be accepted to Jeffery Ladish’s SERI-MATS stream?
$37411 tradersResolved
34%
Will I regularly use a note-taking app over the next month?
$21416 tradersResolved
45%
How many copies (in millions) will the Nintendo Switch sell by the end of fiscal year 2027?
$2126 tradersopen
40%
Will I be accepted to ARENA?
$402 tradersResolved
67%
Will LessWrong try some way of financially rewarding users in proportion to their karma in 2022?
$251 tradersResolved
60%
Who will I next go on 3 dates with?
$00 tradersclosed
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