Manifold Creator
harfe
@harfe
Markets by harfe
Will white win in Manifold Plays Chess, part 3?
$34K41 tradersResolved
100%
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be a guest on the 80000 hours podcast in 2023?
$22K56 tradersResolved
1%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 9. Qe2, what is the score after move 10?
$8K9 tradersResolved
77%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 3: What will white play?
$8K8 tradersResolved
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Will Max Tegmark or FLI issue a statement (before Feb 14th) that the letter of intent (to the swedish right-wing media org) was fake?
$7K11 tradersResolved
1%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 4. Nf3, what is the score after move 5?
$7K12 tradersResolved
67%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 7. Bxe4, what is the score after move 8?
$6K8 tradersResolved
12%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 9. Bxc6+, what is the score after move 10?
$6K8 tradersResolved
63%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 7. Rg1, what is the score after move 8?
$5K8 tradersResolved
37%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 8. Bb5, what is the score after move 9?
$5K9 tradersResolved
42%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 8. g4, what is the score after move 9?
$4K9 tradersResolved
68%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 8. Bc4, what is the score after move 9?
$4K10 tradersResolved
71%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 5. O-O, what is the score after move 6?
$3K8 tradersResolved
59%
Can a robot write a symphony? (AI reliably writes good classical symphonies before 2025)
$3K26 tradersResolved
10%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 6. Qe2, what is the score after move 7?
$3K7 tradersResolved
2%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we resign on move 4, what is the score after move 5?
$3K11 tradersResolved
34%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 20: What will white play?
$2K7 tradersResolved
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[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 5: What will white play?
$2K10 tradersResolved
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[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 21: What will white play?
$2K5 tradersResolved
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[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 34: What will white play?
$2K7 tradersResolved
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[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 23: What will white play?
$2K7 tradersResolved
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[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 3. d3, what is the score after move 4?
$2K8 tradersResolved
37%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 3. Nc3, what is the score after move 4?
$2K10 tradersResolved
51%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we resign in move 6, what is the score after move 7?
$2K10 tradersResolved
7%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 8: What will white play?
$2K12 tradersResolved
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Does the Chan Zuckerberg Initiative remove DEI from their 'Our Approach' page before August 2025?
$2K17 tradersResolved
97%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 5. Nxe4, what is the score after move 6?
$1K8 tradersResolved
58%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 10. Qxf3, what is the score after move 11?
$1K7 tradersResolved
57%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 42: What will white play?
$1K9 tradersResolved
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[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 39. a8=Q, what is the score after move 40 (leveraged)?
$1K7 tradersResolved
90%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 22: What will white play?
$1K6 tradersResolved
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[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 38: What will white play?
$9337 tradersResolved
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What will white (Manifold) play in move 14?
$8947 tradersResolved
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[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 7: What will white play?
$8806 tradersResolved
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[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 41: What will white play?
$8565 tradersResolved
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[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 10. d3, what is the score after move 11?
$8144 tradersResolved
61%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 18: What will white play?
$7676 tradersResolved
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[Manifold Plays Chess 3] If we play 6. Bd3, what is the score after move 7?
$7626 tradersResolved
66%
[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 4: What will white play?
$7146 tradersResolved
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[Manifold Plays Chess 3] Move 30: What will white play?
$7074 tradersResolved
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