Manifold Creator
Em ✨
@hamnox
Markets by Em ✨
Will the 80k jobs board bot be finished by Mar 1?
$2K13 tradersResolved
27%
Will I glowfic thread with someone before the end of the year
$1K20 tradersResolved
11%
Will Manifold Markets add non-google sign ups before April 1st?
$92723 tradersResolved
6%
Some rationalists take significant political action this Oops It's Time To Overthrow Governance Again day
$68510 tradersResolved
11%
Who is a good boy/girl? Is it you? Is it you?
$55617 tradersResolved
95%
Manifold will allow me to sort my trades by profit by Sun. Apr 3rd
$47610 tradersResolved
80%
If MM launches a token in 2022, will it have a market cap of $20M by Jan 2023? (CFMM)
$46811 tradersResolved
31%
Will I break up with my primary this year?
$4178 tradersResolved
7%
Will manifold markets implement muting/hiding markets from view by May 1
$37413 tradersResolved
69%
What will I do during my week in New York?
$33711 tradersResolved
—
Will Lauren stay over at my place for two nights?
$3098 tradersResolved
6%
Will two or more people show up to my house tomorrow for cheerful harberger?
$2056 tradersResolved
72%
Will there be drama about what MM, discord, or LessWrong do for April fool's this year?
$1899 tradersResolved
8%
Should I give in and start making silly meta markets to farm M$?
$1889 tradersResolved
—
What will the second place answer on the manifold features free response question be?
$1854 tradersResolved
—
Will R. Ramesh finish his PhD by the end of September?
$1844 tradersResolved
13%
Will I visit at least 7 friends in new york?
$1528 tradersResolved
57%
If we call Delta about rescheduling my noncancellablr flight will they do it without a fee
$1505 tradersResolved
71%
Will there be more personal markets in April?
$15010 tradersResolved
75%
Markets against Humanity: "You can't wait forever. It's time to talk to your doctor about ..."
$14613 tradersResolved
—
This month's COORDINATION WORDS are "boast" and "diligent". What will traders coordinate to do based on this prompt?
$1415 tradersResolved
—
Will the humanitarian corridor ceasefire break down again?
$1405 tradersResolved
92%
Conditional on making An Effort, Will I make more than $300 in house cleaning gigs by end of January?
$13511 tradersResolved
66%
Will someone join one of my daily tea pourings this week?
$1257 tradersResolved
22%
Will I love CFMM in one month?
$12511 tradersResolved
37%
Will no one participate in my COORDINATION WORDS market
$1075 tradersResolved
3%
[SF Hackathon] How much mana will my BRAINS booklet draft win?
$902 tradersResolved
81%
What world will the best April Fool's Isekai this year be from / who will write the best one?
$855 tradersResolved
—
My car is still on the side of the road and not broken into come morning
$785 tradersResolved
95%
Will I miss my flight
$784 tradersResolved
4%
Will my grandmother's salvadoran quesadillas turn out well?
$785 tradersResolved
44%
Will I have <=200 M$ by the end of February
$771 tradersResolved
81%
Will MM make it easier to associate free response # references with the specific response wording?
$724 tradersResolved
88%
How will the conspiracy be revealed to Keltham?
$708 tradersResolved
—
The next time I start my car it will spew much white smoke or reveal some equally terrifying problem
$633 tradersResolved
83%
Will someone buy one of my incorrect laptop stickers in the next week?
$606 tradersResolved
99%
Let's play Markets Against Humanity! Your black card is "Patient presents with ______. Likely result of ______."
$454 tradersResolved
—
Will "project lawful and their oblivious boyfriend" update on Wednesday?
$426 tradersResolved
81%
Will I get some packing done this week?
$403 tradersResolved
53%
Will more than 9 people show up to the next Bayesian Choir meeting?
$375 tradersResolved
23%