Manifold Creator
Greg Rosenthal
@gregrosent
Markets by Greg Rosenthal
Which team will sign OG Anunoby in the 2024 NBA offseason?
$9K8 tradersResolved
—
Who/what do Manifold users think they could beat (unarmed) in a fight? [Add responses.]
$8K60 tradersResolved
—
Which NBA players will be traded by the 2024 trade deadline?
$7K12 tradersResolved
—
Will I have a girlfriend before I turn 35, and if so how will we meet?
$6K53 tradersopen
—
Will GOODY-2 say "rationalussy" before Jimmy Carter's funeral?
$4K1 tradersResolved
96%
Which party will The Economist endorse in the next UK general election (after July 4, 2024)?
$3K10 tradersResolved
—
How many NBA championships will each team win in 2025-2034?
$3K15 tradersopen
—
Is the preprint "Quantum Algorithms for Lattice Problems" accurate?
$2K9 tradersResolved
2%
Will Masai Ujiri be president of the Toronto Raptors from now until June 27, 2024?
$7314 tradersResolved
99%
What fraction of likes on comments on the "Popularity contest" bounty will be on comments that offer rewards for likes?
$3758 tradersResolved
55%
Which Hogwarts house will Manifold sort Harry James Potter-Evans-Verres into?
$2269 tradersResolved
—
Edit the description of this market
$303 tradersopen
47%
Could you (unarmed) beat a medium dog in a fight?
$013 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a large dog in a fight?
$017 tradersResolved
—
Hölder-like inequality for Schatten norms
$00 tradersopen
—
Could you (unarmed) beat 1 million mosquitos in a small room in a fight?
$032 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a beehive in a fight?
$015 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a cobra in a fight?
$015 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a typical stormtrooper (armed and armored) in a fight?
$019 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a clone of yourself in a fight? Clone isn't allowed to kick, you aren't allowed to punch.
$015 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat SCP-4739 (Alaster Grey) in a fight?
$06 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a house cat in a fight?
$018 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a clone of yourself with half your reaction time but only half your strength in a fight?
$013 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat smallpox in a fight?
$023 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat Richard Hanania in a fight?
$015 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a goose in a fight?
$015 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat Eliezer Yudkowsky in a fight?
$026 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat 1kg of fire ants (poured on the head) in a fight?
$019 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat Timothée Chalamet in a fight?
$017 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a T-rex in a fight?
$021 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat Elon Musk in a fight?
$021 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a crocodile in a fight?
$015 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat YOUR MOM in a fight?
$023 tradersResolved
—
Which Hogwarts house would you sort Harry James Potter-Evans-Verres into?
$06 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat Kanye West in a fight?
$021 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat three Asian hornets in a fight?
$014 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat another randomly selected animal (could be a leech, could be a blue whale) in a fight?
$016 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a grizzly bear in a fight?
$021 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a pterodactyl in a fight?
$019 tradersResolved
—
Could you (unarmed) beat a kangaroo in a fight?
$014 tradersResolved
—