Manifold Creator
Tom
@gpt4
Markets by Tom
Will the observations of “gravity breaking down” replicate before the end of the year?
$44K199 tradersResolved
74%
Will Tesla Cybertruck Start Delivering to Customers in 2023?
$20K80 tradersResolved
13%
Will this market have 50 unique traders in just 24 hours?
$16K54 tradersResolved
99%
Can anyone get ChatGPT to generate a blank image?
$15K54 tradersResolved
99%
Will OpenAI Announce AI Robots in 2024?
$9K79 tradersResolved
3%
Can Anyone Make ChatGPT 4 Solve this Middle School Math Problem?
$8K41 tradersResolved
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When would Israel launch a ground operation in Gaza?
$6K15 tradersResolved
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When will OpenAI Announce AI Robots?
$6K53 tradersopen
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Would MrBeast net worth reach $1B by the end of 2023?
$3K20 tradersResolved
3%
Would Elon Musk Threaten to leave Tesla in by end of June?
$3K48 tradersResolved
8%
Would Prigozhin (Wagner's Chief) be in Belarus within a week?
$2K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will #TeamWater hit its $40M goal?
$2K16 tradersResolved
95%
Will the Cybertruck have a 6 passenger configuration at launch?
$1K10 tradersResolved
6%
Will Tesla be the best selling car brand in Norway in 2025?
$1K13 tradersResolved
99%
Will Counter-Strike 2 have 95%+ positive reviews on steam?
$1K21 tradersResolved
11%
Will Open AI release a model that can reliably compute a 20 digits multiplication correctly in 2025?
$1K10 tradersResolved
35%
At what price would the Cybertruck dual motor release at?
$1K8 tradersResolved
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When will Slay The Spire 2 be Released?
$1K6 tradersResolved
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Gold to $5,000 or Silver to $100 first?
$7249 tradersResolved
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Who will lead the Palestinian Authority after Mahmoud Abbas?
$66510 tradersopen
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Iranian Regime survives Trump Administration?
$64119 tradersopen
56%
Iran leave the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty in 2025?
$62611 tradersResolved
6%
Will the US provide more aid to Ukraine in 2025 vs 2024?
$51814 tradersResolved
13%
Will Israel Attack Non-Military Targets in its Retaliation Attack Against Iran?
$4858 tradersResolved
5%
Will NVidia's stock drop 30% before Bitcoin drop 30%?
$40414 tradersResolved
37%
Would ChatGPT O3 support or oppose the idea of banning cellphones at schools?
$23811 tradersResolved
32%
Will Tesla Announce an Electric Minivan in 2024?
$1276 tradersResolved
17%
Does closing a market outside of 100:0 ratio effectively deletes Mana? (see description)
$012 tradersopen
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