Manifold Creator
I get down
@getby
Markets by I get down
Conditional on one of these people winning the US election, which will it be? [Trump/Biden/Newsom/RFK/Haley/Desantis]
$1.9M3,243 tradersResolved
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Will Judge Tanya Chutkan recuse herself from the Jan. 6 case that involves Donald Trump?
$67K49 tradersResolved
1%
Will the New York Times file a lawsuit against OpenAI over copyright infringements by December 31, 2023?
$61K94 tradersResolved
99%
Will AI replace over 50 million jobs by end of 2024?
$58K135 tradersResolved
2%
Will OpenAI reach a settlement with the New York Times over potential copyright issues before June 30, 2024?
$47K68 tradersResolved
1%
Will China's Defense Minister Li Shangfu make a public appearance or statement by October 15, 2023?
$34K43 tradersResolved
1%
Will Giannis be on the Knicks next season?
$29K11 tradersResolved
2%
Will Chelsea win another premier league game this season before EOY?
$26K7 tradersResolved
100%
Will Julius Randle get traded this offseason?
$26K6 tradersResolved
5%
Will Mo Salah join a Saudi club?
$23K11 tradersResolved
0%
Will GPT-4 fine-tuning be available by October 1st?
$22K25 tradersResolved
2%
Will Ozempic be ranked within the top three prescribed drugs for diabetes by June 30, 2024?
$21K20 tradersclosed
2%
Will Google successfully launch their AI news article writing product for public use by January 1, 2024?
$20K47 tradersResolved
2%
Will GPT-4 fine-tuning be available by EOY?
$19K103 tradersResolved
8%
Will Lebron play on Monday vs the Nets?
$18K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will Hozier's "Unreal Unearth" get a Grammy nomination for Album of the Year?
$17K19 tradersResolved
1%
Is Adam D’Angelo the reason why Sam Altman got fired?
$16K81 tradersResolved
4%
Which NFL week will Jonathan Taylor be back from injury?
$15K21 tradersResolved
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Joe Milton traded before the 2025 NFL Draft?
$15K6 tradersResolved
99%
Will Daniel Jones join the Colts?
$13K12 tradersResolved
99%
Will Liverpool be in the Champions League next season?
$13K13 tradersResolved
1%
Will Zion Williamson be traded from the Pelicans during the 2023 off-season?
$13K11 tradersResolved
5%
Will UAW's demand for a 40% hourly pay increase be met by any of the Detroit automakers by October 31?
$11K23 tradersResolved
3%
Will Tory Lanez get sentenced to 5 or more years in prison?
$11K3 tradersResolved
100%
Aaron Rodgers signs with the Minnesota Vikings before the start of the 2025 NFL season
$10K13 tradersResolved
1%
Will Jalen Brunson play tonight against the Heat? (5-2-23)
$10K8 tradersResolved
100%
Will Aaron Rodgers play again before the end of the regular season?
$9K34 tradersResolved
5%
Will Ozempic be FDA approved for use in type 1 diabetes patients by end of 2024?
$8K10 tradersclosed
7%
Will Ja Morant be suspended the first game of next NBA season?
$7K8 tradersResolved
99%
Will Karl-Anthony Towns be on the Knicks next season?
$7K4 tradersResolved
0%
Will Apple announce any new macbook pros tomorrow (5/7/24)
$7K25 tradersResolved
1%
Will Samura Kamara win the 2023 Sierra Leone Presidential election?
$6K5 tradersResolved
5%
Will Justin Jefferson play in week 11?
$6K11 tradersResolved
2%
Will Digital Currency Group (DCG) file for bankruptcy before 2023?
$4K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will Luton win a premier league game this year?
$4K13 tradersResolved
100%
Will the New York Giants draft a QB?
$4K38 tradersResolved
1%
Will OG Anunoby play in this series against the Pacers again?
$3K31 tradersResolved
15%
Will Andrew Tate be out of jail by April 2nd?
$3K13 tradersResolved
99%
Will Toni Garrn start dating a new partner publicly in 2023 after her divorce from Alex Pettyfer?
$3K6 tradersResolved
3%
Will Brighton qualify for the Europa league?
$3K3 tradersResolved
99%