Manifold Creator
Finn
@finn
Markets by Finn
Will an arrest be made over the leaked LLaMA weights?
$23K28 tradersResolved
4%
Will LLMs' non-language capabilities be used commercially by the end of 2023?
$23K55 tradersResolved
95%
Will North Korea conduct a nuclear test before April 2023?
$19K83 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be another general election in Spain before July 2024?
$18K40 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be 500 fatalities during Israel–Hezbollah confrontations by 13 April 2024?
$6K33 tradersResolved
4%
Turkey's CPI drops below 25% before June 2024
$5K18 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be public reports of a Meta employee getting fired over the LLaMA leak?
$5K23 tradersResolved
1%
Will the OSCE report of manipulation of the vote count in the Turkish presidential election?
$4K11 tradersResolved
1%
What will the league above Diamond be called?
$3K53 tradersResolved
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Will it be possible to run LLaMA inference code on Apple M1 Pro chips before April 2023?
$3K4 tradersResolved
99%
Will the death toll in Gaza be >25,000 by 13 April 2024?
$1K17 tradersResolved
94%
Turkish military takes control of the government before 2024
$1K10 tradersResolved
4%
If he loses, will Erdoğan leave office on the day his term comes to an end?
$91422 tradersResolved
82%
Will Hamas be governing Gaza City on 13 April 2024?
$85411 tradersResolved
3%
What's the best way to save tabs for later?
$40012 tradersResolved
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Price of the Samsung 27" ViewFinity S9 5K display in the UK
$3424 tradersResolved
61%
What should this approach to interaction design be called?
$15110 tradersResolved
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