Manifold Creator
fiddlesticks
@fiddlesticks
Markets by fiddlesticks
Will Team YES have more than log_b(Team NO shares) at closing? (Base randomly generated)
$114K20 tradersResolved
100%
Market Resolves to 2/3 of closing probability
$66K34 tradersResolved
4%
Will the Seattle Kraken beat the Colorado Avalanche in the NHL Playoffs?
$12K8 tradersResolved
100%
Will my friend get into at least one of her early schools in Fall 2023?
$11K8 tradersResolved
100%
Will 3blue1brown's next video come out by 3.21.2023?
$8K17 tradersResolved
0%
Will someone convince me NOT to use Google Chrome as a browser by month-end? (Extended to July 6)
$7K39 tradersResolved
99%
Leafs Beat Panthers?
$6K11 tradersResolved
0%
*IS THE NHL RIGGED?* [resolves no]
$6K3 tradersResolved
0%
Will Bambulab announce a new 3D Printer by Year-end?
$6K4 tradersResolved
100%
Which teams will make the 2023 NHL Stanley Cup Final?
$4K10 tradersResolved
—
Will I die in 2023?
$4K49 tradersResolved
1%
Will Manifold's 100,000,000 shares post come before 7AM PDT 6.28.2023?
$4K7 tradersResolved
0%
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the NHL Draft Lottery?
$4K2 tradersResolved
0%
Will HPMOR still be sold on Amazon at the end of 2023?
$4K17 tradersResolved
1%
Will I bet M500 *NO* on this market?
$4K11 tradersResolved
100%
Will Taylor Swift announce Reputation TV on 12/13/2023 in any time zone?
$4K9 tradersResolved
1%
Will Meta release a Vision Pro competitor/"clone" by October 1, 2023?
$4K11 tradersResolved
0%
-
$3K14 tradersResolved
99%
Will the Stars beat the Knights? (2023 NHL WCF)
$3K5 tradersResolved
0%
Will the Panthers beat the Canes? (2023 NHL ECF)
$3K6 tradersResolved
99%
Will @muffins be elected as Student Council Secretary?
$3K4 tradersResolved
100%
-
$2K10 tradersResolved
99%
Test Market. Resolves to Whim!
$2K2 tradersResolved
100%
-
$2K7 tradersResolved
99%
-
$2K15 tradersResolved
5%
Will I get my pilot's license before the end of 2023? ✈️
$2K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will a pandemic be declared due to H3N2 in 2023?
$1K11 tradersResolved
4%
Will our school's first rocket launch be successful?
$1K6 tradersResolved
99%
Will I *fall* asleep between 9:30PM and 10:00PM for >=3 days this week (ending Friday)?
$1K2 tradersResolved
0%
Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2023 Stanley Cup?
$1K4 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2024 Stanley Cup?
$1K10 tradersResolved
1%
-
$9407 tradersResolved
97%
Will Edmonton make it out of the first round? (2023 NHL Playoffs)
$6653 tradersResolved
98%
Will I get to bed strictly before 10PM today?
$62710 tradersResolved
92%
Will I be able to bike ~3 miles uphill without spilling more than 1.5 inches of coffee before EOY? [100M subsidy]
$57910 tradersResolved
6%
How many Hydrogen atoms are in the sun?
$56111 tradersResolved
21%
Will the USAJMO grader bet on this market?
$5568 tradersResolved
3%
What will the second-most popular option be at closing?
$49814 tradersResolved
—
Will my sister notice I have her phone within an hour?
$43910 tradersResolved
70%
-
$42510 tradersResolved
37%