Manifold Creator
eclair4151
@eclair4151
Markets by eclair4151
Will the OceanGate Expedition submersible be found within 1 month?
$54K137 tradersResolved
100%
Will the Ukrainian army launch a large scale counter-offense before May 15th?
$44K90 tradersResolved
2%
Will the OceanGate Expedition submersible be found within 1 week?
$35K122 tradersResolved
100%
Will there be a major security incident reported at Manifold in 2023?
$10K62 tradersResolved
89%
Will macOS 15 drop support for intel based Mac’s?
$10K25 tradersResolved
2%
Will Apple announce homeOS (or equivalent) in 2024?
$8K35 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be less than 20 unique traders on this market?
$7K27 tradersResolved
1%
Will Fox News settle in their defamation lawsuit with Smartmatic before going to trial?
$5K41 tradersopen
53%
Will BlueSky open registration to the public by August 2023?
$4K28 tradersResolved
2%
Will CGPGrey and Mike discuss Manifold Markets by name on the next episode of Cortex?
$4K25 tradersResolved
1%
Will Apple announce homeOS (or equivalent) at WWDC 2024?
$4K19 tradersResolved
4%
Will Black Mirror season 7 be released by the end of 2025?
$2K9 tradersResolved
99%
Will macOS 16 drop support for intel based Mac’s?
$2K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will Manifold ban self-resolving markets in 2023?
$1K19 tradersResolved
5%
Will SpaceX scrub their next (2nd) starship launch attempt?
$1K17 tradersResolved
43%
Will this market resolve above 90% or below 10%?
$1K20 tradersResolved
24%
Will there be less than 10 unique traders on this market?
$90314 tradersResolved
5%
Will the Reddit API changes force Apollo to go subscription only?
$84327 tradersResolved
71%
Will Manifold have more than 1 hour of consecutive down time in 2023?
$77414 tradersResolved
5%
Will the Falcon Heavy lift off tonight? (April 30th)
$45410 tradersResolved
88%
This market resolves yes if someone Venmo’s me $1 🥸
$3919 tradersResolved
84%