Manifold Creator
crystal ball
@duck
Markets by crystal ball
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 presidential election?
$3.8M2,905 tradersResolved
50%
Will Tether (USDT) ever trade under 0.7 USD in 2022?
$9K33 tradersResolved
4%
Will Tether (USDT) ever trade under 0.7 in 2023?
$6K40 tradersResolved
3%
Is the model Gemini Experimental 1206 an early version of what will be Gemini 2 Pro?
$4K20 tradersResolved
82%
Will OpenAI report that it's no longer heavily GPU limited in 2024?
$3K22 tradersResolved
16%
Will Ethereum merge to Proof of Stake by the end of July?
$2K24 tradersResolved
2%
Will OpenAI release a model better than GPT-4o without test time compute before EOY 2024?
$3668 tradersResolved
15%
Will BNB, the house token of Binance, close the year under $200?
$3362 tradersResolved
5%
Will Petr Pavel win the 2028 Czech presidential election?
$23911 tradersopen
63%