Manifold Creator
dfish
@dfish
Markets by dfish
What will the national average gas price be on June 1st?
$22K35 tradersResolved
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Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of November?
$21K21 tradersResolved
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Total cases of measles reported in US during 2026
$18K49 tradersopen
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What will the national average gas price be on May 1st?
$17K27 tradersResolved
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Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of April 2026?
$17K28 tradersResolved
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Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of October?
$16K25 tradersResolved
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Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of May 2026?
$15K24 tradersResolved
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Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of March 2026?
$15K27 tradersResolved
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Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of 2026?
$14K33 tradersopen
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Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of February 2026?
$14K20 tradersResolved
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Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of January 2026?
$13K31 tradersResolved
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Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of December 2025?
$13K24 tradersResolved
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Will the AI bubble pop by X date?
$11K71 tradersopen
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The magician's folly: which coin is which? (hard mode)
$8K13 tradersResolved
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On April 9th 2026, what will the 7-day moving average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
$8K15 tradersResolved
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Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?
$8K14 tradersopen
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Which horses will finish in the top 3?
$5K21 tradersResolved
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When will there be significant shipping interruptions in the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait?
$5K14 tradersopen
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On April 16th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
$5K18 tradersResolved
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On May 4th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
$4K18 tradersResolved
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Which horses will finish in the top 3 (pt. 2)?
$4K9 tradersResolved
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On May 31st 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
$2K14 tradersResolved
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On May 24th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
$2K15 tradersResolved
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What will the national average gas price be on July 1st?
$2K6 tradersopen
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On April 26th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
$2K14 tradersResolved
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Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of June 2026?
$1K13 tradersopen
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What will be the distribution of inter-day returns of the S&P500 for 2026?
$1K3 tradersopen
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Which coin was selected (intermediate mode)
$8696 tradersResolved
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Is the coin fair?
$76210 tradersResolved
55%
On June 28th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
$55411 tradersopen
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Was urn 1 selected?
$1013 tradersResolved
19%
Which coin was selected? ignore
$00 tradersResolved
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On April 9th, what will the 7-day moving average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
$00 tradersResolved
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Will the S&P 500 be greater than or equal to X at the end of November (disregard)?
$00 tradersResolved
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