Manifold Creator
MF
@costlySignal
Markets by MF
Who will run for the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
$35K129 tradersResolved
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Will Putin assist Mexico’s presidential inauguration?
$22K19 tradersResolved
1%
Who will be Barcelona's next coach?
$14K19 tradersResolved
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Who will be the last standing SCOTUS justice?
$3K24 tradersopen
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How many states will conduct a recount of votes in the 2024 general election?
$3K22 tradersResolved
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If Kamala Harris assumes the presidency during Biden's second term, will she be the party nominee in 2028?
$3K23 tradersResolved
25%
Will Trump accept Biden’s invitation to debate on June 27th?
$2K19 tradersResolved
96%
Elon Musk called to testify before Congress by 2028?
$2K27 tradersopen
72%
Will NYC close an entire street to cars before 2050?
$1K9 tradersopen
85%
US v Google: which of the following remedies will be ordered?
$1K18 tradersopen
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Conditional on Trump assuming the presidency in 2025, will he be ousted by a military coup?
$1K22 tradersopen
9%
By what percentage will US presidential campaign funding grow in 2024 relative to 2020?
$85316 tradersResolved
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Will the US humanitarian aid pier in the Mediterranean be attacked?
$41012 tradersResolved
43%
Elon Musk testifies before Congress by 2028?
$3438 tradersopen
60%
Which US Congress will be the next to pass a comprehensive housing bill?
$1906 tradersopen
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Will any candidate accuse their competitor of "being an AI" in the 2028 election?
$18416 tradersopen
37%
If Donald Trump becomes the next president, what will his approval rating be a year after assuming office?
$12913 tradersclosed
41%
Who will be the last Roberts Court justice to leave office?
$1001 tradersResolved
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