Manifold Creator
coproduct
@coproduct
Markets by coproduct
Will X become inaccessible in Brazil due to a court order in August?
$33K105 tradersResolved
96%
Will Manifold allow people outside North America to trade in sweepstakes markets before EOY 2026? (read description)
$20K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will the supposed list of "protected users" who can break X's TOS be proven to be real or fake until August 31st?
$16K31 tradersResolved
—
How many people will be fined for using X through VPNs or other means in Brazil?
$13K45 tradersResolved
—
Will Nicolás Maduro's government produce non-obviously fake voting records supporting a Maduro win until 8/31?
$8K31 tradersResolved
2%
Will a paper solely authored by an AI research agent receive at least 100 citations by EOY 2025?
$7K48 tradersclosed
3%
Will 50% or more of AWS developers stop coding for AWS in the next 24 months?
$5K39 tradersopen
10%
Will X require AI-operated accounts to be tagged as such before EOY 2025?
$4K10 tradersResolved
4%
Will any of Petrobras, Banco do Brasil or Caixa Economica Federal be privatized until EOY 2026?
$3K7 tradersopen
5%
Will any major tech companies (other than SpaceX and X) move out of California in 2024?
$3K7 tradersResolved
7%
Will Juan Manuel Izquierdo pass away in the next week?
$2K2 tradersResolved
90%
Will significant restrictions on image generation be added to Grok 2 in 2024?
$2K26 tradersResolved
57%
Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2030?
$2K19 tradersopen
45%
Will React still be the most popular front-end framework in 2035?
$2K12 tradersopen
20%
Will anyone report having been harmed by "fast jhanas" meditation in 2024?
$1K10 tradersResolved
16%
Will Edmundo González be sworn in as Venezuela's president in January 2025?
$7104 tradersResolved
2%