Manifold Creator
Chris 🥌
@chris
Markets by Chris 🥌
Outcome of next Canadian federal election
$76K62 tradersResolved
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2025 Death Pool
$58K93 tradersResolved
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Which team will win the Stanley Cup in 2024?
$34K41 tradersResolved
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How will SCOTUS rule on the Colorado Supreme Court's ruling?
$16K63 tradersResolved
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Will I promote to Diamond this season?
$16K17 tradersResolved
100%
Will the NDP try to force an election before mid March?
$11K6 tradersResolved
0%
When will Time announce the Person of the Year?
$11K16 tradersResolved
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Will Justin Trudeau cease being PM before Joe Biden ceases being President?
$9K47 tradersResolved
1%
Who will buy TikTok?
$8K86 tradersResolved
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2024 Death Pool (add your own)
$8K24 tradersResolved
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Will Jimmy Carter live to see the next Bitcoin Halving?
$6K25 tradersResolved
99%
What date will Greenland be invaded by the United States?
$6K31 tradersopen
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Will this market close between 40.01% and 59.99%?
$5K75 tradersResolved
59%
Will I rank #1 in my Bronze league this month?
$5K11 tradersResolved
0%
Who will be the official opposition after the next Canadian Federal election?
$5K30 tradersResolved
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Will Justin Trudeau announce he's stepping down before Canada Day 2024?
$5K15 tradersResolved
2%
Will the Hard Fork YouTube channel reach 10k subscribers by the end of Nov 2023?
$5K27 tradersResolved
4%
Will the next President of the USA (elected in 2024) die before the end of their term in office.
$4K58 tradersopen
15%
Will I promote to Platinum this season?
$3K11 tradersResolved
98%
Will Pierre Pollievre still be the leader of the CPC at the end of 2025?
$2K28 tradersResolved
98%
Will I remain in Diamond this season?
$2K6 tradersResolved
99%
Will the NDP poll higher than the Liberals at any point before the next Canadian federal election?
$2K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will Pierre Pollievre be Prime Minister by the end of 2027?
$2K20 tradersopen
4%
Will the 500 poll reach 250 by the end of June?
$2K6 tradersResolved
1%
Within 6 months of Trump being convicted of any crime, will his favorability drop below 35%?
$1K11 tradersResolved
2%
Will Jimmy Carter live to see the next Prime Minister of Canada?
$1K7 tradersResolved
1%
Who will win the 2024 Brier
$1K3 tradersResolved
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Will the problems with Voyager 1's flight data systems ever be fixed?
$1K10 tradersResolved
98%
How much will Deadpool & Wolverine gross worldwide (in millions)?
$1K7 tradersResolved
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Will the 500 poll reach 200 by the end of June?
$1K2 tradersResolved
99%
Will either happen: Trump is convicted of a crime AND wins election OR Trump is not convicted AND loses election
$1K9 tradersResolved
99%
What will happen during the first Trump and Biden debate (open answers)
$1K17 tradersResolved
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(Canada) Will the Liberals poll within 10 points of the Conservatives before next Federal Election?
$1K16 tradersResolved
91%
Will Mark Carney and Liberals abolish the consumer carbon tax before the next election?
$9154 tradersResolved
99%
Will my standard of living 3 years from now be meaningfully affected by AI?
$87731 tradersopen
72%
What will the Bank of Canada Prime Rate be at the end of Canada Day 2025? (7.20% at market creation)
$7543 tradersResolved
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When will I first see a Cybertruck in the wild?
$7208 tradersResolved
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Will a commercially available household cleaning robot be released by the end of 2025?
$69013 tradersResolved
6%
Will Apple still be developing the Vision Pro (or successor) after 2030?
$67218 tradersopen
69%
Will I be surprised by a new release in AI technology this year?
$67223 tradersResolved
68%