Manifold Creator
cshunter
@cash
Markets by cshunter
Who will be elected mayor of New York City in 2025?
$2.8M1,378 tradersResolved
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Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2023?
$1.5M2,159 tradersResolved
1%
Will there be a US government shutdown in 2025?
$935K598 tradersResolved
100%
Who will be on OpenAI's board of directors on 1 Jan 2024?
$322K371 tradersResolved
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What will be the outcome of Canada's 2025 federal election?
$212K332 tradersResolved
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Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before the end of 2025?
$126K368 tradersResolved
100%
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI before 2030?
$112K193 tradersResolved
100%
What will be the top grossing film of 2025?
$98K139 tradersResolved
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Will there be a US government shutdown before the end of 2024?
$95K166 tradersResolved
2%
Will there be a third presidential debate in the 2024 US election?
$84K64 tradersResolved
1%
Who will be on OpenAI's board of directors one year after Sam Altman's ouster?
$73K123 tradersResolved
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What will be the top 10 grossing films in the US in 2025?
$71K75 tradersResolved
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Will Nicolas Maduro be President of Venezuela on 10 January 2025?
$63K117 tradersResolved
99%
Will the US invade Iran before the end of 2026?
$63K199 tradersopen
15%
Who will be elected mayor of Los Angeles in 2026?
$62K68 tradersopen
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Will Eric Adams be re-elected mayor of New York City in 2025?
$60K133 tradersResolved
1%
Will Mitch McConnell stop being Senate Republican Leader by the next presidential inauguration (20 Jan 2025)?
$60K158 tradersResolved
99%
Will Vladimir Putin win Russia's 2024 presidential election with 80% or more of the vote?
$60K124 tradersResolved
100%
Will there be a US government shutdown in 2026?
$56K131 tradersResolved
99%
Will Russia militarily seize Narva, Estonia before 2030?
$55K95 tradersopen
8%
Will a new Speaker of the US House of Representatives be elected before the end of October 18th?
$52K170 tradersResolved
0%
Will Donald Trump and Joe Biden debate each other twice before the 2024 US presidential election?
$52K95 tradersResolved
1%
Will Donald Trump be impeached and removed during his second term?
$49K82 tradersopen
8%
What will be #1 most viewed Wikipedia article of 2025?
$44K102 tradersResolved
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Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2026?
$39K211 tradersopen
3%
Will Xi Jinping cease to be China's leader before the end of 2025?
$38K51 tradersResolved
1%
What will be the top 10 most viewed Wikipedia articles of 2024?
$31K64 tradersResolved
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Will the price of oil reach $150 before the end of 2026?
$31K129 tradersopen
29%
What will be the top 10 most viewed Wikipedia articles of 2025?
$31K41 tradersResolved
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Will a critically acclaimed video game feature AI-generated dialogue in 2025?
$30K171 tradersResolved
2%
Will Justin Trudeau stop being Canada's Prime Minister by the conclusion of the next federal election (20 Oct 2025 or earlier)?
$29K82 tradersResolved
99%
Will Donald Trump and Joe Biden debate each other three times before the 2024 US presidential election?
$28K76 tradersResolved
1%
Will Sundar Pichai cease to be CEO of Alphabet before the end of 2024?
$26K84 tradersResolved
1%
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2025?
$26K49 tradersResolved
1%
Will Pope Francis cease to be pope before 2030?
$25K43 tradersResolved
99%
Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2024?
$25K153 tradersResolved
98%
Will a new Speaker of the US House of Representatives be elected before the end of October?
$25K73 tradersResolved
100%
Will MrBeast’s Squid Game video have half a billion views before the end of September?
$25K43 tradersResolved
99%
Will Sam Altman cease to be CEO of OpenAI again before the end of 2024?
$24K125 tradersResolved
1%
Will the US "vibecession" continue through all of 2025?
$24K136 tradersResolved
99%