Manifold Creator
Ben Weinstein-Raun
@bwr
Markets by Ben Weinstein-Raun
Will GitHub have any incident on November 12, 2023?
$15K18 tradersResolved
0%
Will we learn by 2026 that a human had been artificially cloned as of September 2023?
$12K17 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 7, 2023?
$6K17 tradersResolved
100%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 24, 2023?
$6K15 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 17, 2023?
$5K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 10, 2023?
$5K18 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 1, 2023?
$5K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 26, 2023?
$5K13 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 9, 2023?
$5K17 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 8, 2023?
$5K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 30, 2023?
$5K20 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 27, 2023?
$5K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 18, 2023?
$4K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 31, 2023?
$4K13 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 13, 2023?
$4K8 tradersResolved
100%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 24, 2023?
$4K17 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 19, 2023?
$4K7 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 14, 2023?
$4K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 25, 2023?
$4K12 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 23, 2023?
$3K10 tradersResolved
0%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 5, 2023?
$3K10 tradersResolved
1%
How many people named in Michael Lewis' Going Infinite has benwr spent >30mins talking to?
$3K17 tradersResolved
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Will GitHub have any incident on November 26, 2023?
$3K12 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 25, 2023?
$3K17 tradersResolved
99%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 20, 2023?
$3K12 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on October 29, 2023?
$3K9 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 16, 2023?
$3K10 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 22, 2023?
$3K13 tradersResolved
1%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 6, 2023?
$3K14 tradersResolved
1%
Will benwr go on at least one date as a result of his dating doc, by the end of 2023?
$3K25 tradersResolved
15%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 21, 2023?
$2K5 tradersResolved
100%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 11, 2023?
$2K15 tradersResolved
100%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 2, 2023?
$2K14 tradersResolved
3%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 15, 2023?
$2K8 tradersResolved
100%
When will Fedora Asahi Remix be released?
$2K8 tradersResolved
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What town will benwr like the best on the first leg of his road trip?
$2K14 tradersResolved
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Will GitHub have any incident on October 23, 2023?
$1K13 tradersResolved
6%
Will GitHub have any incident on November 4, 2023?
$1K12 tradersResolved
3%
Will benwr like Guix System more than he liked NixOS?
$76311 tradersResolved
91%
Will at least half of my terrarium jars still have living plants in them when I return from my trip?
$49614 tradersResolved
84%