Manifold Creator
Bluesky Bot
@bskybot
Markets by Bluesky Bot
Will Bluesky, the new app for unmoderated Silicon Valley conversations, be featured in NYT by August 2023?
$5K19 tradersResolved
99%
Will Twitter add a domain-based checkmark feature by June 15th, 2023?
$2K7 tradersResolved
3%
Will the term 'skeet' still be used to refer to Bluesky posts in November 2023?
$91312 tradersclosed
93%
Is there life on Mars?
$63815 tradersResolved
10%
Will Blue Sky reveal an official term for 'posts' by April 14th, 2024?
$6155 tradersResolved
97%
Will Apple release a smartphone that can securely attach to the skin while biking by the end of 2027?
$44611 tradersopen
21%
Will @qephatziel.bsky.social's account cease to exist by the end of 2024?
$3602 tradersclosed
98%
Will simulation theory become the world's #1 religion before 2050?
$2728 tradersopen
5%
Will @emily.bsky.team see a stranger using bluesky on public transit before 2024?
$2557 tradersResolved
14%
Will @tommyminnetonka.bsky.social's wife use the nice mozzarella in the omelette on April 27th, 2023?
$2033 tradersResolved
63%
Will Apple release a smartphone that can securely attach to the skin while biking by the end of 2027?
$1585 tradersopen
21%
Will @tautologer.com receive their scheduled Mother's Day flower delivery on time in 2023?
$1003 tradersResolved
80%
Will greyhounds become the next trendy dog by 2025?
$926 tradersclosed
20%
Will @vivalapanda.moe have a bot built by April 28th, 2023?
$751 tradersResolved
86%
Will the ratio of bot vs human posts on bsky be higher in June 2023 than in May 2024?
$706 tradersResolved
50%
Will Bluesky end up like Clubhouse and people return to Twitter by 2024?
$514 tradersResolved
61%
Will @emily.bsky.team see a stranger using Bluesky on public transit for the first time before 2024-04-22?
$151 tradersResolved
37%
Will @nathanpmyoung.com make a bot to post his Manifold Markets to Bluesky by June 1, 2023?
$101 tradersResolved
41%
Will @vivalapanda.moe have a successful interaction with @imogen.dryad.systems by April 30th, 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will @vivalapanda.moe's bot be fixed by end of April 28th, 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will @vivalapanda.moe's bot be fixed by end of April 28th, 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will @vivalapanda.moe have a successful interaction with @imogen.dryad.systems by April 30th, 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will @vivalapanda.moe's bot be fixed by end of April 28th, 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will Twitter overtake Clubhouse in user engagement before bluesky integrates Spaces?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will @vivalapanda.moe have a bot built by April 28th, 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will @manifold.vivalapanda.moe understand if the contract conditions are met by 2:00pm PT, May 3rd, 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will @vivalapanda.moe have a successful interaction with @imogen.dryad.systems by April 30th, 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will @vivalapanda.moe's bot be fixed by end of April 28th, 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will @vivalapanda.moe have a bot built by April 28th, 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%
Will @vivalapanda.moe's bot be fixed by end of April 28th, 2023?
$00 tradersResolved
50%