Manifold Creator
breck
@breck
Markets by breck
Will Vivek Ramaswamy become the #2 polling candidate anytime before the second GOP debate?
$77K77 tradersResolved
0%
Will the Fed raise interest rates at the Sept 2023 meeting?
$52K94 tradersResolved
1%
Will the US pass a Full Budget before 2025?
$14K50 tradersResolved
2%
Will Haley catch up to Ramaswamy before the second GOP primary debate?
$12K58 tradersResolved
80%
This question resolves YES
$10K10 tradersResolved
100%
Who will come in second in the 2024 GOP South Carolina primary?
$9K26 tradersResolved
—
Will Nikki Haley catch up to Ron DeSantis before the third GOP primary debate?
$7K16 tradersResolved
1%
Will Christie say “Donald Duck” again at tonight’s debate
$7K22 tradersResolved
0%
When will the Factorio expansion be released?
$7K24 tradersResolved
—
Will Kenyan troops be in Haiti by 2025?
$6K20 tradersResolved
94%
Which word will be spoken most often by candidates in the second GOP primary debate?
$5K27 tradersResolved
—
How many US Supreme Court Justices will vote that Trump is ineligible to hold office?
$4K30 tradersResolved
—
How many innings in tonight’s MLB World Series game?
$4K14 tradersResolved
—
How many games will be played in the 2024 MLB World Series?
$4K16 tradersResolved
—
Will an AI be elected to public office in the USA by 2034? (850M subsidy)
$3K50 tradersopen
23%
Will Kevin McCarthy be re-elected as Speaker of the House in the 118th congress
$3K8 tradersResolved
1%
Will I be demoted to Platinum?
$2K9 tradersResolved
1%
Will any state’s 2024 Electoral College votes be rejected from counting?
$2K11 tradersResolved
1%
Will the Texas grid (ERCOT) enter emergency mode this winter?
$2K14 tradersResolved
2%
Will Ted Cruz Lose in 2024?
$2K23 tradersResolved
3%
Will the weather be “Mostly Cloudy” or worse over Dallas, Texas, during Great American Eclipse?
$2K25 tradersResolved
63%
Will there be more than 15k trades on the US House Speaker market?
$2K10 tradersResolved
3%
Will the Ural Airlines A320 fly from the field where it is stranded?
$2K6 tradersResolved
4%
Will it snow in Dallas by Feb 7, 2024?
$2K7 tradersResolved
98%
Will more people watch the second 2024 Republican primary debate than the first?
$1K24 tradersResolved
46%
Half Life 4 by 2030?
$1K20 tradersopen
8%
How many Texas state senators will vote to convict Ken Paxton?
$1K12 tradersResolved
—
Will Nikki Haley pardon Trump before 2030?
$88812 tradersopen
5%
Will my amaryllis bloom this month?
$8143 tradersResolved
99%
Will a 2024 third-party candidate debate a major-party candidate in a nationally televised US presidential debate?
$8108 tradersResolved
3%
Tether market cap >$100B at 01 Jan 2024 00:00 UTC?
$6716 tradersResolved
3%
Will Donald Trump legally vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
$6586 tradersResolved
92%
What types of races will I complete in 2024?
$4187 tradersResolved
—
What will the BLS employment situation report state the US unemployment rate is on August 4. 2023?
$3501 tradersResolved
—
Will we know which ally provided intelligence to Canada over the killing of Hardeep Singh Nijjar by Oct 15?
$3244 tradersResolved
—
Will I be picked to be a juror?
$26811 tradersResolved
17%
When will the first 2023 COVID 19 boosters be approved by the FDA?
$2252 tradersResolved
—
Will I drink (alcohol) today?
$20910 tradersResolved
40%
Will Texas Constitution Proposition 5 pass?
$1783 tradersResolved
89%
Which word will be spoken most often by candidates during the Nov 8, 2023, GOP primary debate?
$1119 tradersResolved
—