Manifold Creator
Barton Rhodes
@bmorphism
Markets by Barton Rhodes
Will the sun rise tomorrow?
$9125 tradersResolved
99%
Will an AI implement a full infinity-topos mathematical framework by end of 2025?
$49510 tradersclosed
5%
Which major technology company will make the most significant quantum computing breakthrough by 2030?
$1186 tradersopen
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Will quantum computing achieve practical advantage in cryptography before 2030?
$337 tradersopen
29%
Will a standardized category theory language for ML models emerge by end of 2025?
$226 tradersclosed
3%
Will vibes.lol launch before August 31st, 2025?
$92 tradersResolved
1%
Will ASCII diagrams be replaced by interactive visualizations in MCP by EOY 2025?
$62 tradersclosed
1%
Will Claude and other base models support the Model Context Protocol (MCP) natively by 2026?
$22 tradersclosed
86%
Will the G-Retriever model be adopted by at least 5 major AI products by end of 2025?
$12 tradersclosed
15%
Will vibes support multi-language tools beyond TypeScript by 2026?
$01 tradersclosed
40%
What are autopoietic ergodicity and embodied gradualism in the context of plurigrid?
$00 tradersclosed
50%
What will be the power consumption (in watts) of the most energy-efficient 1000-qubit quantum computer by 2030?
$00 tradersopen
78%
Which quantum computing framework do you find most promising for near-term applications?
$05 tradersResolved
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Which diagram resource URI pattern will become the MCP standard by end of 2025?
$00 tradersclosed
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